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Nuclear energy policy in Belgium after Fukushima

Author

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  • Kunsch, Pierre L.
  • Friesewinkel, Jean

Abstract

The Belgian nuclear phase-out law imposes closing down in the 2015–2025 period seven nuclear power plants (NPPs) producing more than 50% of the domestic electricity. This creates an urgent problem in the country because of the absence of well-defined capacity-replacement plans. Though a safety-of-supply provision in the law allows for a delayed phase-out, hopes for a technically acceptable schedule have reduced after the Fukushima nuclear disaster in March 2011. In this article policy investigations are made with system dynamics. A significant finding from such modelling is that, in contrast to common expectations, a too early nuclear phase-out will not serve the deployment of renewable energy sources and rational use of energy. It is indeed found to primarily benefit to fossil fuel, creating unwanted drawbacks regarding safety of supply, dependency on foreign suppliers, price volatility, and increased use of non-renewable and CO2-emitting fossil fuels.

Suggested Citation

  • Kunsch, Pierre L. & Friesewinkel, Jean, 2014. "Nuclear energy policy in Belgium after Fukushima," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 462-474.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:66:y:2014:i:c:p:462-474
    DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2013.11.035
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Bo Hu & Armin Leopold & Stefan Pickl, 2013. "Transition Towards Renewable Energy Supply—A System Dynamics Approach," Dynamic Modeling and Econometrics in Economics and Finance, in: Jesús Crespo Cuaresma & Tapio Palokangas & Alexander Tarasyev (ed.), Green Growth and Sustainable Development, edition 127, pages 217-226, Springer.
    2. Teufel, Felix & Miller, Michael & Genoese, Massimo & Fichtner, Wolf, 2013. "Review of System Dynamics models for electricity market simulations," Working Paper Series in Production and Energy 2, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Institute for Industrial Production (IIP).
    3. Ben Maalla, El Mehdi & Kunsch, Pierre L., 2008. "Simulation of micro-CHP diffusion by means of System Dynamics," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(7), pages 2308-2319, July.
    4. Kunsch, P. & Springael, J., 2008. "Simulation with system dynamics and fuzzy reasoning of a tax policy to reduce CO2 emissions in the residential sector," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 185(3), pages 1285-1299, March.
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