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Firing the furnace? An econometric analysis of utilities' fuel choice

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  • Tauchmann, H.

Abstract

This paper attempts to predict the potential effects of CO2 emissions trading on fuel choice in the German electric power industry. By analyzing panel data (1968–1998) of major utilities, we show that the fuel mix of electric utilities is price inelastic. As a consequence, the implementation of a CO2 trading scheme will, if anything, only slightly induce interfuel substitution. Accordingly, low-carbon fuels will hardly replace lignite and hard coal through CO2 emissions trading, as long as abatement targets are not extremely ambitious. However,one cannot rule out that fuel prices may become more important for the utilities’ fuel mix as a result of deregulation in the German power sector.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Energy Policy.

Volume (Year): 34 (2006)
Issue (Month): 18 (December)
Pages: 3898-3909

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Handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:34:y:2006:i:18:p:3898-3909

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  1. P. L. Joskow & F. S. Mishkin, 1974. "Electric Utility Fuel Choice Behavior in the United States," Working papers 143, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Department of Economics.
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  16. Seifi, Ahmad & McDonald, John F., 1986. "Fuel choice in new fossil fuel electric power plants," Resources and Energy, Elsevier, vol. 8(1), pages 21-34, March.
  17. Ellis, Randall P & Zimmerman, Martin B, 1983. "What Happened to Nuclear Power: A Discrete Choice Model of Technology Adoption," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 65(2), pages 234-42, May.
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Cited by:
  1. Pettersson, Fredrik & Söderholm, Patrik & Lundmark, Robert, 2012. "Fuel switching and climate and energy policies in the European power generation sector: A generalized Leontief model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 1064-1073.
  2. Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Narayan, Seema & Smyth, Russell, 2008. "Are oil shocks permanent or temporary? Panel data evidence from crude oil and NGL production in 60 countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 919-936, May.
  3. Michelsen , Carl Christian & Madlener, Reinhard, 2013. "Switching from Fossil Fuel to Renewables in Residential Heating Systems: An Empirical Study of Homeowners’ Decisions in Germany," FCN Working Papers 14/2013, E.ON Energy Research Center, Future Energy Consumer Needs and Behavior (FCN).
  4. Gao, Jing & Nelson, Robert & Zhang, Lei, 2013. "Substitution in the electric power industry: An interregional comparison in the eastern US," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 316-325.
  5. Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Popp, Stephan, 2009. "Can the electricity market be characterised by asymmetric behaviour?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(11), pages 4364-4372, November.

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