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Short- and long-run adjustments in U.S. petroleum consumption

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  • Huntington, Hillard G.
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    Abstract

    Long-run adjustments in petroleum consumption are not only larger than short-run adjustments. They may also be motivated by entirely different price events. This analysis shows that new price peaks have both short-run and long-run consumption responses, a result that is starkly different than price changes that track previous price paths. It also establishes significant trend effects where gasoline and residual fuel oil consumption decline over time. The analysis explores these adjustments by establishing long-run cointegrating relationships for different petroleum product groupings. An important implication is that price increases above historical levels may be providing substantially greater incentives for significant long-run demand adjustments than would be the case otherwise.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Energy Economics.

    Volume (Year): 32 (2010)
    Issue (Month): 1 (January)
    Pages: 63-72

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    Handle: RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:32:y:2010:i:1:p:63-72

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    Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/eneco

    Related research

    Keywords: Oil demand Elasticity Irreversibility;

    References

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    Cited by:
    1. Olutomi I Adeyemi & Lester C. Hunt, 2013. "Accounting for asymmetric price responses and underlying energy demand trends in OECD industrial energy demand," Surrey Energy Economics Centre (SEEC), School of Economics Discussion Papers (SEEDS) 142, Surrey Energy Economics Centre (SEEC), School of Economics, University of Surrey.
    2. Song, Nianfu & Aguilar, Francisco X. & Shifley, Stephen R. & Goerndt, Michael E., 2012. "Analysis of U.S. residential wood energy consumption: 1967–2009," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(6), pages 2116-2124.
    3. Huntington, Hillard G., 2011. "Backcasting U.S. oil demand over a turbulent decade," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(9), pages 5674-5680, September.
    4. Lester C. Hunt & David L Ryan, 2014. "Economic Modelling of Energy Services: Rectifying Misspecified Energy Demand Functions," Surrey Energy Economics Centre (SEEC), School of Economics Discussion Papers (SEEDS) 147, Surrey Energy Economics Centre (SEEC), School of Economics, University of Surrey.
    5. Leng Wong, Siang & Chia, Wai-Mun & Chang, Youngho, 2013. "Energy consumption and energy R&D in OECD: Perspectives from oil prices and economic growth," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 1581-1590.

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