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Statistical estimation of multivariate Ornstein–Uhlenbeck processes and applications to co-integration

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  • Fasen, Vicky

Abstract

Ornstein–Uhlenbeck models are continuous-time processes which have broad applications in finance as, e.g., volatility processes in stochastic volatility models or spread models in spread options and pairs trading. The paper presents a least squares estimator for the model parameter in a multivariate Ornstein–Uhlenbeck model driven by a multivariate regularly varying Lévy process with infinite variance. We show that the estimator is consistent. Moreover, we derive its asymptotic behavior and test statistics. The results are compared to the finite variance case. For the proof we require some new results on multivariate regular variation of products of random vectors and central limit theorems. Furthermore, we embed this model in the setup of a co-integrated model in continuous time.

Suggested Citation

  • Fasen, Vicky, 2013. "Statistical estimation of multivariate Ornstein–Uhlenbeck processes and applications to co-integration," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 172(2), pages 325-337.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:172:y:2013:i:2:p:325-337
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2012.08.019
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    1. Long, Hongwei & Ma, Chunhua & Shimizu, Yasutaka, 2017. "Least squares estimators for stochastic differential equations driven by small Lévy noises," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 127(5), pages 1475-1495.
    2. Bielak, Łukasz & Grzesiek, Aleksandra & Janczura, Joanna & Wyłomańska, Agnieszka, 2021. "Market risk factors analysis for an international mining company. Multi-dimensional, heavy-tailed-based modelling," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    3. Valentin Courgeau & Almut E. D. Veraart, 2022. "Likelihood theory for the graph Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process," Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, Springer, vol. 25(2), pages 227-260, July.
    4. Long, Hongwei & Shimizu, Yasutaka & Sun, Wei, 2013. "Least squares estimators for discretely observed stochastic processes driven by small Lévy noises," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 422-439.
    5. Kevin W. Lu, 2022. "Calibration for multivariate Lévy-driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes with applications to weak subordination," Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, Springer, vol. 25(2), pages 365-396, July.
    6. Yiying Cheng & Yaozhong Hu & Hongwei Long, 2020. "Generalized moment estimators for $$\alpha $$α-stable Ornstein–Uhlenbeck motions from discrete observations," Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, Springer, vol. 23(1), pages 53-81, April.
    7. Ovidijus Stauskas, 2023. "Complete Theory for CCE Under Heterogeneous Slopes and General Unknown Factors," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 85(2), pages 283-303, April.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Asymptotic; Co-integration; Continuous-time process; Multivariate regular variation; Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process; Point estimation; Stable Lévy process; t-ratio statistic; Wald-statistic;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models

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