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Jumps in equilibrium prices and market microstructure noise

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  • Lee, Suzanne S.
  • Mykland, Per A.
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    Abstract

    Asset prices observed in financial markets combine equilibrium prices and market microstructure noise. In this paper, we study how to tell apart large shifts in equilibrium prices from noise using high frequency data. We propose a new nonparametric test which allows us to asymptotically remove the noise from observable price data and to discover jumps in fundamental asset values. We provide its asymptotic distribution to decide when such jumps occur. In finite samples, our test offers reasonable power for distinguishing between noise and jumps. Empirical evidence indicates that it is necessary to incorporate the presence of jumps in equilibrium prices.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of Econometrics.

    Volume (Year): 168 (2012)
    Issue (Month): 2 ()
    Pages: 396-406

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    Handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:168:y:2012:i:2:p:396-406

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    Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/jeconom

    Related research

    Keywords: Jumps; Noise; Nonparametric tests; High frequency data;

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    2. Charles S. Bos & Paweł Janus & Siem Jan Koopman, 2012. "Spot Variance Path Estimation and Its Application to High-Frequency Jump Testing," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Society for Financial Econometrics, vol. 10(2), pages 354-389, 2012 06.
    3. Lan Zhang & Per A. Mykland & Yacine Ait-Sahalia, 2003. "A Tale of Two Time Scales: Determining Integrated Volatility with Noisy High Frequency Data," NBER Working Papers 10111, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Suzanne S. Lee & Per A. Mykland, 2008. "Jumps in Financial Markets: A New Nonparametric Test and Jump Dynamics," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 21(6), pages 2535-2563, November.
    5. Bakshi, Gurdip & Cao, Charles & Chen, Zhiwu, 1997. " Empirical Performance of Alternative Option Pricing Models," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 52(5), pages 2003-49, December.
    6. Yacine Aït-Sahalia, 2005. "How Often to Sample a Continuous-Time Process in the Presence of Market Microstructure Noise," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 18(2), pages 351-416.
    7. Chernov, Mikhail & Gallant, A. Ronald & Ghysels, Eric & Tauchen, George, 2002. "Alternative Models for Stock Price Dynamic," Working Papers 02-03, Duke University, Department of Economics.
    8. Yacine Ait-Sahalia & Per A. Mykland & Lan Zhang, 2005. "Ultra High Frequency Volatility Estimation with Dependent Microstructure Noise," NBER Working Papers 11380, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2003. "Econometrics of testing for jumps in financial economics using bipower variation," Economics Papers 2003-W21, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
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    14. Per A. Mykland & Lan Zhang, 2009. "Inference for Continuous Semimartingales Observed at High Frequency," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 77(5), pages 1403-1445, 09.
    15. Heston, Steven L, 1993. "A Closed-Form Solution for Options with Stochastic Volatility with Applications to Bond and Currency Options," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 6(2), pages 327-43.
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    17. Charles S. Bos & Pawel Janus & Siem Jan Koopman, 2009. "Spot Variance Path Estimation and its Application to High Frequency Jump Testing," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 09-110/4, Tinbergen Institute.
    18. Bates, David S, 1996. "Jumps and Stochastic Volatility: Exchange Rate Processes Implicit in Deutsche Mark Options," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 9(1), pages 69-107.
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    Cited by:
    1. Garvey, John & Gallagher, Liam A., 2013. "The economics of data: Using simple model-free volatility in a high-frequency world," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 370-379.

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