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A Bayesian approach to bandwidth selection for multivariate kernel regression with an application to state-price density estimation

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  • Zhang, Xibin
  • Brooks, Robert D.
  • King, Maxwell L.

Abstract

This paper presents a Bayesian approach to bandwidth selection for multivariate kernel regression. A Monte Carlo study shows that under the average squared error criterion, the Bayesian bandwidth selector is comparable to the cross-validation method and clearly outperforms the bootstrapping and rule-of-thumb bandwidth selectors. The Bayesian bandwidth selector is applied to a multivariate kernel regression model that is often used to estimate the state-price density of Arrow-Debreu securities with the S&P 500 index options data and the DAX index options data. The proposed Bayesian bandwidth selector represents a data-driven solution to the problem of choosing bandwidths for the multivariate kernel regression involved in the nonparametric estimation of the state-price density pioneered by Aït-Sahalia and Lo [Aït-Sahalia, Y., Lo, A.W., 1998. Nonparametric estimation of state-price densities implicit in financial asset prices. The Journal of Finance, 53, 499, 547.]

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of Econometrics.

Volume (Year): 153 (2009)
Issue (Month): 1 (November)
Pages: 21-32

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Handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:153:y:2009:i:1:p:21-32

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Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/jeconom

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Keywords: Black-Scholes formula Bootstrapping Cross-validation Markov chain Monte Carlo Time to maturity;

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References

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  7. Zhang, Xibin & King, Maxwell L. & Hyndman, Rob J., 2006. "A Bayesian approach to bandwidth selection for multivariate kernel density estimation," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 50(11), pages 3009-3031, July.
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Citations

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Cited by:
  1. Feng, Guohua & Zhang, Xiaohui, 2014. "Returns to scale at large banks in the US: A random coefficient stochastic frontier approach," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 135-145.
  2. Anastasios Panagiotelis & Michael S. Smith & Peter J Danaher, 2013. "From Amazon to Apple: Modeling Online Retail Sales, Purchase Incidence and Visit Behavior," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics 5/13, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  3. Rong Zhang & Brett A. Inder & Xibin Zhang, 2013. "Bayesian estimation of a discrete response model with double rules of sample selection," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics 24/13, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  4. Shang, Han Lin, 2013. "Bayesian bandwidth estimation for a nonparametric functional regression model with unknown error density," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 185-198.
  5. Xibin Zhang & Maxwell L. King & Han Lin Shang, 2011. "Bayesian estimation of bandwidths for a nonparametric regression model with a flexible error density," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics 10/11, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  6. Oliver Morell & Dennis Otto & Roland Fried, 2013. "On robust cross-validation for nonparametric smoothing," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 28(4), pages 1617-1637, August.
  7. Zhang, Xibin & King, Maxwell L. & Shang, Han Lin, 2014. "A sampling algorithm for bandwidth estimation in a nonparametric regression model with a flexible error density," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 218-234.
  8. Rong Zhang & Brett A. Inder & Xibin Zhang, 2012. "Parameter estimation for a discrete-response model with double rules of sample selection: A Bayesian approach," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics 5/12, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  9. Han Shang, 2014. "Bayesian bandwidth estimation for a semi-functional partial linear regression model with unknown error density," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 29(3), pages 829-848, June.
  10. Song Li & Mervyn J. Silvapulle & Param Silvapulle & Xibin Zhang, 2012. "Bayesian Approaches to Non-parametric Estimation of Densities on the Unit Interval," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics 3/12, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  11. Filippone, Maurizio & Sanguinetti, Guido, 2011. "Approximate inference of the bandwidth in multivariate kernel density estimation," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 55(12), pages 3104-3122, December.

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