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Tests with correct size when instruments can be arbitrarily weak

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Author Info
Moreira, Marcelo J.

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Abstract

This paper applies classical exponential-family statistical theory to develop a unifying framework for testing structural parameters in the simultaneous equations model under the assumption of normal errors with known reduced-form variance matrix. The results can be divided into the limited-information and full-information categories. In the limited-information model, it is possible to characterize the entire class of similar tests in a model with only one endogenous explanatory variable. In the full-information framework, this paper proposes a family of similar tests for subsets of endogenous variables' coefficients. For both limited- and full-information models, there exist power upper bounds for unbiased tests. When the model is just-identified, the Anderson-Rubin, score, and (pseudo) conditional likelihood ratio tests are optimal. When the model is over-identified, the (pseudo) conditional likelihood ratio test has power close to the power envelope when identification is strong.

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File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/B6VC0-4VH4DN2-1/2/86faaadf00dc90eff80a33f32693340f
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of Econometrics.

Volume (Year): 152 (2009)
Issue (Month): 2 (October)
Pages: 131-140
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Handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:152:y:2009:i:2:p:131-140

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Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/jeconom

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Related research
Keywords: Instrumental variables regression Curved exponential family Weak instruments Pre-testing;

Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Marcelo Moreira, 2008. "A Maximum Likelihood Method for the Incidental Parameter Problem," NBER Working Papers 13787, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Chen, Li-Ju, 2009. "Women in Politics: A New Instrument for Studying the Impact of Education on Growth," Research Papers in Economics 2009:2, Stockholm University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  3. John Chao & Norman R. Swanson, 2003. "Alternative Approximations of the Bias and MSE of the IV Estimator under Weak Identification with an Application to Bias Correction," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1418, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Justin McCrary, 2002. "Using Electoral Cycles in Police Hiring to Estimate the Effect of Police on Crime: Comment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 92(4), pages 1236-1243, September. [Downloadable!]
  5. Andreas Pick, 2007. "Financial contagion and tests using instrumental variables," DNB Working Papers 139, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department. [Downloadable!]
  6. Marcelo J. Moreira & Jack R. Porter & Gustavo A. Suarez, 2004. "Bootstrap and Higher-Order Expansion Validity When Instruments May Be Weak," NBER Technical Working Papers 0302, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  7. Donald W.K. Andrews & Vadim Marmer, 2005. "Exactly Distribution-free Inference in Instrumental Variables Regression with Possibly Weak Instruments," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1501, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  8. Richard Smith, 2005. "Weak instruments and empirical likelihood: a discussion of the papers by DWK Andrews and JH Stock and Y Kitamura," CeMMAP working papers CWP13/05, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies. [Downloadable!]
  9. Donald W.K. Andrews & Patrik Guggenberger, 2007. "Hybrid and Size-Corrected Subsample Methods," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1606, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
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