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Fiscal policy and asset markets: A semiparametric analysis

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Author Info
Jansen, Dennis W.
Li, Qi
Wang, Zijun
Yang, Jian

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Abstract

Using a flexible semiparametric varying coefficient model specification, this paper examines the role of fiscal policy on the US asset markets (stocks, corporate and treasury bonds). We consider two possible roles of fiscal deficits (or surpluses): as a separate direct information variable and as a (indirect) conditioning information variable indicating binding constraints on monetary policy actions. The results show that the impact of monetary policy on the stock market varies, depending on fiscal expansion or contraction. The impact of fiscal policy on corporate and treasury bond yields follow similar patterns as in the equity market. The results are consistent with the notion of strong interdependence between monetary and fiscal policies.

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File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/B6VC0-4TDVMJY-6/2/281ca0e29f55df4f4927f34482d57a3c
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of Econometrics.

Volume (Year): 147 (2008)
Issue (Month): 1 (November)
Pages: 141-150
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Handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:147:y:2008:i:1:p:141-150

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Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/jeconom

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Related research
Keywords: Fiscal deficits Monetary policy Stock market Semiparametric estimation;

Cited by:
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  1. Jingping Gu & Paula Hernandez-Verme, . "A Semiparametric Time Trend Varying Coefficients Model: With An Application to Evaluate Credit Rationing in U.S. Credit Market," School of Economics Working Papers EM200902, Universidad de Guanajuato. [Downloadable!]
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