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Bayesian inference in models based on equilibrium search theory

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  • Koop, Gary

Abstract

The equilibrium search model represents a substantial advance over previous models of job search, but its empirical performance fails in some crucial ways. Hence, flexible extensions are called for. In this paper, we consider three such extensions in areas where Bayesian methods can be used to great advantage. These are i) A specification where Bayesian priors are used to center a model over the restrictions implied by economic theory; ii) A model involving a nonlinear prediction function where a closed form expression for the likelihood function does not exist; and iii) A model which allows for unobserved heterogeneity. We show how posterior simulation methods can be used for empirical analysis for all three models. The paper includes an empirical exercise involving the school-to-work transitions of Canadian and U.S. school leavers.
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  • Koop, Gary, 2001. "Bayesian inference in models based on equilibrium search theory," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 102(2), pages 311-338, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:102:y:2001:i:2:p:311-338
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    Cited by:

    1. John W. Schindler, 2001. "Testing optimality in job search models," International Finance Discussion Papers 710, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    2. Mohsen Mehrara & Samaneh Seijani & Abbas Rezazadeh Karsalari, 2017. "Determinants of high-tech export in developing countries based on Bayesian model averaging," Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, vol. 35(1), pages 199-215.
    3. Richard J. Boys & Peter J. Dolton & Neil R. Walker, 2007. "Adapting the optimal job search model for active labour market policy," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 170(3), pages 759-779, July.

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