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Biased predictors, rationality and the evaluation of forecasts

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Zellner, Arnold

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File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/B6V84-45DMV85-RM/2/63b9b68ccfed0ca484e460ce9be95bbb
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Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Economics Letters.

Volume (Year): 21 (1986)
Issue (Month): 1 ()
Pages: 45-48
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Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:21:y:1986:i:1:p:45-48

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  1. Fred Joutz & Michael P. Clements & Herman O. Stekler, 2007. "An evaluation of the forecasts of the federal reserve: a pooled approach," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(1), pages 121-136. [Downloadable!]
  2. Carlos Capistrán-Carmona, 2005. "Bias in Federal Reserve Inflation Forecasts: Is the Federal Reserve Irrational or Just Cautious?," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 127, Society for Computational Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. David Hauner & Kornélia Krajnyák & Martin Mühleisen & Bennett Sutton & Stephan Danninger, 2005. "How Do Canadian Budget Forecasts Compare with Those of Other Industrial Countries?," IMF Working Papers 05/66, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  4. Marco Ottaviani & Peter Norman Sorensen, 2001. "The Strategy of Professional Forecasting," Discussion Papers 01-09, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  5. Carl Bonham & Richard Cohen & Shigeyuki Abe, 2006. "The Rationality and Heterogeneity of Survey Forecasts of the Yen-Dollar Exchange Rate: A Reexamination," Working Papers 200611, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  6. Allan Timmermann & Graham Elliott & Ivana Komunjer, 2004. "Biases in Macroeconomic Forecasts: Irrationality or Asymmetric Loss?," Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings 601, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
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  7. Öller, Lars-Erik & Barot, Bharat, 2000. "The Accuracy of European Growth and Inflation Forecasts," Working Paper 72, National Institute of Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  8. Annette Kyobe & M. Cangiano & Stephan Danninger, 2005. "The Political Economy of Revenue-Forecasting Experience from Low-Income Countries," IMF Working Papers 05/2, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  9. Carlos Capistrán & Allan Timmermann, 2008. "Disagreement and Biases in Inflation Expectations," CREATES Research Papers 2008-56, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-7.


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