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Asset prices, monetary policy, and aggregate fluctuations: An empirical investigation

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  • Cheng, Lichao
  • Jin, Yi

Abstract

This paper studies empirically the dynamic interactions between asset prices, monetary policy, and aggregate fluctuations in the U.S. during the Volcker–Greenspan period. Results from a simple structural vector autoregression indicate that monetary policy reacts directly to the term spread and indirectly to stock prices and house prices via output and inflation, that there is an asymmetry in the interactions between asset prices and aggregate activity, and that asset prices exhibit positive comovement.

Suggested Citation

  • Cheng, Lichao & Jin, Yi, 2013. "Asset prices, monetary policy, and aggregate fluctuations: An empirical investigation," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 119(1), pages 24-27.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:119:y:2013:i:1:p:24-27
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2013.01.005
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    Cited by:

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    2. Lütkepohl, Helmut & Netšunajev, Aleksei, 2017. "Structural vector autoregressions with smooth transition in variances," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 43-57.
    3. Helmut Lütkepohl & Aleksei Netsunajev, 2014. "Structural Vector Autoregressions with Smooth Transition in Variances - The Interaction Between U.S. Monetary Policy and the Stock Market," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2014-031, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
    4. Helmut Lütkepohl & Mika Meitz & Aleksei Netšunajev & Pentti Saikkonen, 2021. "Testing identification via heteroskedasticity in structural vector autoregressive models," The Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 24(1), pages 1-22.
    5. Herwartz, Helmut & Maxand, Simone & Rohloff, Hannes, 2018. "Lean against the wind or float with the storm? Revisiting the monetary policy asset price nexus by means of a novel statistical identification approach," University of Göttingen Working Papers in Economics 354, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.
    6. Lanne, Markku & Meitz, Mika & Saikkonen, Pentti, 2017. "Identification and estimation of non-Gaussian structural vector autoregressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 196(2), pages 288-304.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    House prices; Stock prices; Term structure; Monetary policy; Structural vector autoregressions;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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