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Do financial crises erode potential output? Evidence from OECD inflation responses

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  • Bijapur, Mohan

Abstract

This paper presents evidence from a panel investigation of OECD countries that inflationary pressures tend to be stronger during recovery from financial crises compared to recovery from non-crisis economic downturns, indicating impairment in productive potential.

Suggested Citation

  • Bijapur, Mohan, 2012. "Do financial crises erode potential output? Evidence from OECD inflation responses," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 117(3), pages 700-703.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:117:y:2012:i:3:p:700-703
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2011.12.090
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    1. Mr. Luc Laeven & Mr. Fabian Valencia, 2010. "Resolution of Banking Crises: The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly," IMF Working Papers 2010/146, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2009. "The Aftermath of Financial Crises," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 99(2), pages 466-472, May.
    3. Valerie Cerra & Sweta Chaman Saxena, 2008. "Growth Dynamics: The Myth of Economic Recovery," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 98(1), pages 439-457, March.
    4. Iana Liadze & Ray Barrell & Professor E. Philip Davis, 2010. "Evaluating off-balance sheet exposures in banking crisis determination models," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 357, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
    5. Ben S. Bernanke & Cara S. Lown, 1991. "The Credit Crunch," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 22(2), pages 205-248.
    6. Claudio E. V. Borio & Andrew Filardo, 2007. "Globalisation and inflation: New cross-country evidence on the global determinants of domestic inflation," BIS Working Papers 227, Bank for International Settlements.
    7. Bijapur, Mohan, 2010. "Does monetary policy lose effectiveness during a credit crunch?," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 56617, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    8. Benati, Luca, 2012. "Estimating the financial crisis’ impact on potential output," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 114(1), pages 113-119.
    9. Stephen G. Cecchetti & Alfonso Flores-Lagunes & Stefan Krause, 2006. "Has Monetary Policy become more Efficient? a Cross-Country Analysis," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 116(511), pages 408-433, April.
    10. Blinder, Alan S, 1987. "Credit Rationing and Effective Supply Failures," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 97(386), pages 327-352, June.
    11. Stephen G. Cecchetti & Marion Kohler & Christian Upper, 2009. "Financial crises and economic activity," Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, pages 89-135.
    12. Bijapur, Mohan, 2010. "Does monetary policy lose effectiveness during a credit crunch?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 106(1), pages 42-44, January.
    13. Iana Liadze & Ray Barrell & Professor E. Philip Davis, 2010. "The Effects of Banking Crises on Potential Output in OECD Countries," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 358, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Bakas, Dimitrios & Mendieta-Muñoz, Ivan, 2020. "Financial crises and economic recovery: Cross-country heterogeneity and cross-sectional dependence," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
    2. Mendieta-Muñoz, Ivan, 2017. "On The Interaction Between Economic Growth And Business Cycles," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 21(4), pages 982-1022, June.
    3. Bijapur, Mohan & Croci, Manuela & Zaidi, Rida, 2012. "Do asset regulations impede portfolio diversification? evidence from European life insurance funds," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 56618, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    4. Yu-Fan Huang & Sui Luo, 2018. "Potential output and inflation dynamics after the Great Recession," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 55(2), pages 495-517, September.
    5. Abdoulaye Millogo, 2020. "Hysteresis effects and financial frictions," Cahiers de recherche 20-14, Departement d'économique de l'École de gestion à l'Université de Sherbrooke.
    6. Abdoulaye Millogo, 2020. "Hysteresis Effects and Macroeconomics Gains from Unconventional Monetary Policies Stabilization," Cahiers de recherche 20-12, Departement d'économique de l'École de gestion à l'Université de Sherbrooke.
    7. Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2009. "The Aftermath of Financial Crises," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 99(2), pages 466-472, May.
    8. Bijapur, Mohan, 2013. "Are credit crunches supply or demand shocks?," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 56620, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    9. Bijapur, Mohan & Croci, Manuela & Zaidi, Rida, 2012. "Do Asset Regulations Impede Portfolio Diversification? Evidence from European Life Insurance Funds," MPRA Paper 54265, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Schleer, Frauke & Kappler, Marcus, 2014. "The Phillips Curve: (In)stability, the role of credit, and implications for potential output measurement," ZEW Discussion Papers 14-067, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    11. Juan Carlos Castro Fernández & Juan Carlos Castro Fernández, 2022. "Big Recessions and Slow Recoveries," Documentos de Trabajo UEC 20128, Universidad Externado de Colombia.
    12. Lin, Hongbo & Zhang, Xiaoling & Chen, Zhenling & Zheng, Heyun, 2020. "Estimating the potential output and output gap for China's coal cities with pollutants reduction," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    13. Robert F. Martin & Teyanna Munyan & Beth Anne Wilson, 2014. "Potential Output and Recessions: Are We Fooling Ourselves?," IFDP Notes 2014-11-12, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    14. Bijapur, Mohan, 2013. "Are Credit Shocks Supply or Demand Shocks?," MPRA Paper 49005, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Fernando N. de Oliveira & Myrian Petrassi, 2015. "Do Financial Crises Erode Potential Output? a cross country analysis of industrial and emerging economies," Working Papers Series 388, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial crisis; Potential output; Inflation; Credit crunch;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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