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Price inflation and stock returns

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  • Oxman, Jeffrey

Abstract

This letter demonstrates that price inflation and stock returns display differing relationships depending on the measure of inflation used. The regularity that price inflation and stock returns are negatively related in post-World War II depends on the model specification.

Suggested Citation

  • Oxman, Jeffrey, 2012. "Price inflation and stock returns," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 116(3), pages 385-388.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:116:y:2012:i:3:p:385-388
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2012.04.024
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Martin Feldstein, 1983. "Inflation, Tax Rules, and the Stock Market," NBER Chapters, in: Inflation, Tax Rules, and Capital Formation, pages 199-220, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    3. Martin Feldstein, 1983. "Inflation and the Stock Market," NBER Chapters, in: Inflation, Tax Rules, and Capital Formation, pages 186-198, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    6. Hess, Patrick J & Lee, Bong-Soo, 1999. "Stock Returns and Inflation with Supply and Demand Disturbances," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 12(5), pages 1203-1218.
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    9. Lee, Bong-Soo, 2003. "Asset Returns and Inflation in Response to Supply, Monetary, and Fiscal Disturbances," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 21(3), pages 207-231, November.
    10. Michael Boskin, 2005. "Causes and Consequences of Bias in the Consumer Price Index as a Measure of the Cost of Living," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 33(1), pages 1-13, March.
    11. Brandt, Michael W. & Wang, Kevin Q., 2003. "Time-varying risk aversion and unexpected inflation," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(7), pages 1457-1498, October.
    12. Lee, Bong Soo, 2010. "Stock returns and inflation revisited: An evaluation of the inflation illusion hypothesis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(6), pages 1257-1273, June.
    13. Michael J. Boskin, 1998. "Consumer Prices, the Consumer Price Index, and the Cost of Living," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 12(1), pages 3-26, Winter.
    14. Fama, Eugene F, 1983. "Stock Returns, Real Activity, Inflation, and Money: Reply," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 73(3), pages 471-472, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Doho, Libaud Rudy Aurelien & Somé, Sobom Matthieu & Banto, Jean Michel, 2023. "Inflation and west African sectoral stock price indices: An asymmetric kernel method analysis," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    2. Pandey, Dharen Kumar & Lucey, Brian M. & Kumar, Satish, 2023. "Border disputes, conflicts, war, and financial markets research: A systematic review," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    3. Vietha Devia Sagita Sumantri, 2020. "Analysis Factors Affecting Indonesia Stock Market (Case Studies on Consumer Goods Index)," ACTA VSFS, University of Finance and Administration, vol. 14(1), pages 10-23.
    4. Acker, Daniella & Duck, Nigel W., 2013. "Inflation illusion and the US dividend yield: Some further evidence," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 235-254.
    5. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Adeolu O. Adewuyi & Olabanji B. Awodumi & David Roubaud, 2022. "Relationship between stock returns and inflation: New evidence from the US using wavelet and causality methods," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 4515-4540, October.
    6. Anyiwe, Mercy Ada & Sunday Osahon Igbinedion, 2015. "Stock Returns, Inflation and the “Reverse Causality†Hypothesis: Evidence from Nigeria," International Journal of Research in Business and Social Science (2147-4478), Center for the Strategic Studies in Business and Finance, vol. 4(1), pages 32-50, January.
    7. Avishek Bhandari & Kamaiah Bandi, 2018. "On the Dynamics of Inflation-Stock Returns in India," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 16(1), pages 89-99, March.
    8. Salisu, Afees A. & Raheem, Ibrahim D. & Ndako, Umar B., 2020. "The inflation hedging properties of gold, stocks and real estate: A comparative analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    9. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Dar, Arif Billah & Bhanja, Niyati & Arouri, Mohamed & Teulon, Frédéric, 2015. "Stock returns and inflation in Pakistan," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 23-31.
    10. Atilla Cifter, 2015. "Stock Returns, Inflation, and Real Activity in Developing Countries: A Markov-Switching Approach," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 62(1), pages 55-76, March.
    11. Mensi, Walid & Al Rababa'a, Abdel Razzaq & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2021. "Asymmetric spillover and network connectedness between crude oil, gold, and Chinese sector stock markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    12. Lan, Yueqin & Huang, Yong & Yan, Chao, 2021. "Investor sentiment and stock price: Empirical evidence from Chinese SEOs," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 703-714.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Inflation; Equity premium; Dividend yield;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets

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