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Modeling crime in Japan

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  • Halicioglu, Ferda
  • Andrés, Antonio R.
  • Yamamura, Eiji

Abstract

This study aims at identifying the factors of aggregate and disaggregate crime categories in Japan over the period 1964–2009. All crime categories are related to police outlays, police numbers, unemployment, divorce and urbanization rates. Bounds testing approach to cointegration is implemented to test the existence of a long-run relationship amongst the variables. Cointegration analysis yields that the main deterrent effect on crime is the police presence and this factor is further confirmed by the real police outlays. As for the essential cause of crime, urbanization stands as the leading factor which is followed by divorce and unemployment rates. Policy implications are discussed.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Economic Modelling.

Volume (Year): 29 (2012)
Issue (Month): 5 ()
Pages: 1640-1645

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Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:29:y:2012:i:5:p:1640-1645

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Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/30411

Related research

Keywords: Crime; Cointegration; Time series; Japan;

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References

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