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A direct test of the endogeneity of money: Implications for Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries

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  • Tas, Bedri Kamil Onur
  • Togay, Selahattin

Abstract

This paper contributes to the ongoing discussion about the endogeneity of money supply by empirically investigating the GCC countries. We propose and implement a direct test of money supply endogeneity that depends on econometric specification of exogeneity which has not been used in the literature before. To be able to make comparisons with previous studies, we also conducted Granger Causality tests to analyze the causality relationship between bank credit and money supply. Both of the empirical studies provide empirical evidence for the endogeneity of money supply in GCC countries. The results of the paper have many significant monetary policy implications for the upcoming monetary unification of the GCC countries.

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  • Tas, Bedri Kamil Onur & Togay, Selahattin, 2012. "A direct test of the endogeneity of money: Implications for Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 577-585.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:29:y:2012:i:3:p:577-585
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2011.12.015
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    3. Syed Abul Basher & Stefano Fachin, 2014. "Investigating long-run demand for broad money in the Gulf Arab countries," Middle East Development Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(2), pages 199-214, July.
    4. Wang, Ling, 2022. "The dynamics of money supply determination under asset purchase programs: A market-based versus a bank-based financial system," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    GCC Countries; Endogenous money supply; Monetary union; Post Keynesian monetary theory;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C26 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Instrumental Variables (IV) Estimation
    • E41 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Demand for Money
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers

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