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No-Arbitrage ROM simulation

Author

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  • Geyer, Alois
  • Hanke, Michael
  • Weissensteiner, Alex

Abstract

Ledermann et al. (2011) propose random orthogonal matrix (ROM) simulation for generating multivariate samples matching means and covariances exactly. Its computational efficiency compared to standard Monte Carlo methods makes it an interesting alternative. In this paper we enhance this method׳s attractiveness by focusing on applications in finance. Many financial applications require simulated asset returns to be free of arbitrage opportunities. We analytically derive no-arbitrage bounds for expected excess returns to be used in the context of ROM simulation, and we establish the theoretical relation between the number of states (i.e., the sample size) and the size of (no-)arbitrage regions. Based on these results, we present a No-Arbitrage ROM simulation algorithm, which generates arbitrage-free random samples by purposefully rotating a simplex. Hence, the proposed algorithm completely avoids any need for checking samples for arbitrage. Compared to the alternative of (potentially frequent) re-sampling followed by arbitrage checks, it is considerably more efficient. As a by-product, we provide interesting geometrical insights into affine transformations associated with the No-Arbitrage ROM simulation algorithm.

Suggested Citation

  • Geyer, Alois & Hanke, Michael & Weissensteiner, Alex, 2014. "No-Arbitrage ROM simulation," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 66-79.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:45:y:2014:i:c:p:66-79
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2014.05.017
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. J. Michael Harrison & Stanley R. Pliska, 1981. "Martingales and Stochastic Integrals in the Theory of Continous Trading," Discussion Papers 454, Northwestern University, Center for Mathematical Studies in Economics and Management Science.
    2. Peter Kall & János Mayer, 2011. "Stochastic Linear Programming," International Series in Operations Research and Management Science, Springer, edition 2, number 978-1-4419-7729-8, December.
    3. Geyer, Alois & Hanke, Michael & Weissensteiner, Alex, 2010. "No-arbitrage conditions, scenario trees, and multi-asset financial optimization," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 206(3), pages 609-613, November.
    4. Pieter Klaassen, 2002. "Comment on "Generating Scenario Trees for Multistage Decision Problems"," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 48(11), pages 1512-1516, November.
    5. Ledermann, Daniel & Alexander, Carol, 2012. "Further properties of random orthogonal matrix simulation," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 56-79.
    6. Harrison, J. Michael & Pliska, Stanley R., 1981. "Martingales and stochastic integrals in the theory of continuous trading," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 11(3), pages 215-260, August.
    7. Geyer, Alois & Hanke, Michael & Weissensteiner, Alex, 2014. "No-arbitrage bounds for financial scenarios," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 236(2), pages 657-663.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Alexander, Carol & Meng, Xiaochun & Wei, Wei, 2022. "Targeting Kollo skewness with random orthogonal matrix simulation," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 299(1), pages 362-376.
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    4. Carol Alexander & Xiaochun Meng & Wei Wei, 2020. "Targetting Kollo Skewness with Random Orthogonal Matrix Simulation," Papers 2004.06586, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2021.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial scenario generation; ROM simulation; No-arbitrage bounds; Simplex; Rotation matrix;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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