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On Abel's concept of doubt and pessimism

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Author Info
Jouini, E.
Napp, C.

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Abstract

In this paper, we characterize subjective probability beliefs leading to a higher equilibrium market price of risk. We establish that Abel's result on the impact of doubt on the risk premium is not correct in general; see Abel [2002. An exploration of the effects of pessimism and doubt on asset returns. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 26, 1075-1092]. We introduce, on the set of subjective probability beliefs, market-price-of-risk dominance concepts and we relate them to well-known dominance concepts used for comparative statics in portfolio choice analysis. In particular, the necessary first-order conditions on subjective probability beliefs in order to increase the market price of risk for all nondecreasing utility functions appear as equivalent to the monotone likelihood ratio property.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control.

Volume (Year): 32 (2008)
Issue (Month): 11 (November)
Pages: 3682-3694
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Handle: RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:32:y:2008:i:11:p:3682-3694

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Related research
Keywords: Pessimism Optimism Doubt Stochastic dominance Risk premium Market price of risk Riskiness Portfolio dominance Monotone likelihood ratio;

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  1. Elyès Jouini & Clotilde Napp, 2006. "Heterogeneous Beliefs and Asset Pricing in Discrete Time: An Analysis of Pessimism and Doubt," Post-Print halshs-00176500_v1, HAL. [Downloadable!]
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  2. Diego Nocetti & Elyès Jouini & Clotilde Napp, 2008. "Properties of the Social Discount Rate in a Benthamite Framework with Heterogeneous Degrees of Impatience," Post-Print halshs-00365980_v1, HAL. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-12-5.


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