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Chaotic dynamics and bifurcation in a macro model

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  • Stutzer, Michael J.

Abstract

The qualitative dynamics of a discrete time version of a deterministic, continuous time, nonlinear macro model formulated by Haavelmo are fully characterized. Recently developed methods of symbolic dynamics and ergodic theory are shown to provide a simple, effective means of analyzing the behavior of the resulting one-parameter family of first-order, deterministic, nonlinear difference equations. A complex periodic and random ?aperiodic? orbit structure dependent on a key structural parameter is present, which contrasts with the total absence of such complexity in Haavelmo?s continuous time version. Several implications for dynamic economic modelling are discussed.
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  • Stutzer, Michael J., 1980. "Chaotic dynamics and bifurcation in a macro model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 2(1), pages 353-376, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:2:y:1980:i:1:p:353-376
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    5. Klein, Lawrence R & Preston, R S, 1969. "Stochastic Nonlinear Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 37(1), pages 95-106, January.
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