Taylor principle and inflation stability in emerging market countries
AbstractThe goal of this paper is to evaluate the validity of the Taylor principle for inflation control in 12 developing countries that use inflation targeting regimes: Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Hungary, Israel, Mexico, Peru, Philippines, Poland, South Africa, Thailand and Turkey. The test is based on a state-space model to determine when each country has followed the principle; then a threshold unit root test is used to verify if the stationarity of the deviation of the expected inflation from its target depends on compliance with the Taylor principle. The results show that such compliance leads to the stationarity of the deviation of the expected inflation from its target in all cases. Furthermore, in most cases, non-compliance with the Taylor principle leads to nonstationary deviation of the expected inflation.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of Development Economics.
Volume (Year): 91 (2010)
Issue (Month): 1 (January)
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Taylor Rule Emerging markets Inflation stability;
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- Kuhl Teles, Vladimir & Zaidan, Marta, 2009. "Taylor Principle And Inflation Stability In Emerging Market Countriesw," Textos para discussÃ£o 197, Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil).
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