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Ensemble classification based on generalized additive models

Author

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  • De Bock, Koen W.
  • Coussement, Kristof
  • Van den Poel, Dirk

Abstract

Generalized additive models (GAMs) are a generalization of generalized linear models (GLMs) and constitute a powerful technique which has successfully proven its ability to capture nonlinear relationships between explanatory variables and a response variable in many domains. In this paper, GAMs are proposed as base classifiers for ensemble learning. Three alternative ensemble strategies for binary classification using GAMs as base classifiers are proposed: (i) GAMbag based on Bagging, (ii) GAMrsm based on the Random Subspace Method (RSM), and (iii) GAMens as a combination of both. In an experimental validation performed on 12 data sets from the UCI repository, the proposed algorithms are benchmarked to a single GAM and to decision tree based ensemble classifiers (i.e. RSM, Bagging, Random Forest, and the recently proposed Rotation Forest). From the results a number of conclusions can be drawn. Firstly, the use of an ensemble of GAMs instead of a single GAM always leads to improved prediction performance. Secondly, GAMrsm and GAMens perform comparably, while both versions outperform GAMbag. Finally, the value of using GAMs as base classifiers in an ensemble instead of standard decision trees is demonstrated. GAMbag demonstrates performance comparable to ordinary Bagging. Moreover, GAMrsm and GAMens outperform RSM and Bagging, while these two GAM ensemble variations perform comparably to Random Forest and Rotation Forest. Sensitivity analyses are included for the number of member classifiers in the ensemble, the number of variables included in a random feature subspace and the number of degrees of freedom for GAM spline estimation.

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  • De Bock, Koen W. & Coussement, Kristof & Van den Poel, Dirk, 2010. "Ensemble classification based on generalized additive models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 54(6), pages 1535-1546, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:csdana:v:54:y:2010:i:6:p:1535-1546
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    1. K. W. De Bock & D. Van Den Poel, 2012. "Reconciling Performance and Interpretability in Customer Churn Prediction using Ensemble Learning based on Generalized Additive Models," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 12/805, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
    2. Christmann, Andreas & Hable, Robert, 2012. "Consistency of support vector machines using additive kernels for additive models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(4), pages 854-873.
    3. M. Ballings & D. Van Den Poel & E. Verhagen, 2013. "Evaluating the Added Value of Pictorial Data for Customer Churn Prediction," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 13/869, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
    4. Murat Gök, 2015. "An ensemble of -nearest neighbours algorithm for detection of Parkinson's disease," International Journal of Systems Science, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(6), pages 1108-1112, April.
    5. Coussement, Kristof & De Bock, Koen W., 2013. "Customer churn prediction in the online gambling industry: The beneficial effect of ensemble learning," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 66(9), pages 1629-1636.
    6. Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan & Majid Mojirsheibani, 2015. "A simple method for combining estimates to improve the overall error rates in classification," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 30(4), pages 1033-1049, December.
    7. K. W. De Bock & D. Van Den Poel, 2011. "An empirical evaluation of rotation-based ensemble classifiers for customer churn prediction," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 11/717, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
    8. Jasmit Shah & Somnath Datta & Susmita Datta, 2014. "A multi-loss super regression learner (MSRL) with application to survival prediction using proteomics," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 29(6), pages 1749-1767, December.
    9. Mojirsheibani, Majid & Kong, Jiajie, 2016. "An asymptotically optimal kernel combined classifier," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 91-100.
    10. Fitzpatrick, Trevor & Mues, Christophe, 2016. "An empirical comparison of classification algorithms for mortgage default prediction: evidence from a distressed mortgage market," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 249(2), pages 427-439.
    11. Adler, Werner & Brenning, Alexander & Potapov, Sergej & Schmid, Matthias & Lausen, Berthold, 2011. "Ensemble classification of paired data," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 55(5), pages 1933-1941, May.
    12. Hugo Proença & João C. Neves, 2017. "Fusing Vantage Point Trees and Linear Discriminants for Fast Feature Classification," Journal of Classification, Springer;The Classification Society, vol. 34(1), pages 85-107, April.
    13. Koen W. de Bock & Arno de Caigny, 2021. "Spline-rule ensemble classifiers with structured sparsity regularization for interpretable customer churn modeling," Post-Print hal-03391564, HAL.

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