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Can the stock market anticipate future operating performance? Evidence from equity rights issues

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  • Kabir, Rezaul
  • Roosenboom, Peter

Abstract

This paper examines whether the stock market valuation impact is consistent with subsequent operating performance of firms. We use data for equity rights offerings - the widely adopted flotation method in the Netherlands. We first examine the stock market announcement effect of rights issues and observe that a statistically significant stock price decline takes place when companies announce rights issues. Further stock price decline is also observed during the subscription period. We then analyze post-rights issue operating performance of firms and find that, consistent with the announcement period decline in stock price, rights issuing firms subsequently exhibit a statistically significant decline in their operating performance. Additional investigation of both stock and operating performance decline provides full support for the information asymmetry hypothesis, partial support for the free cash flow hypothesis but no support for the window of opportunity hypothesis.
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  • Kabir, Rezaul & Roosenboom, Peter, 2003. "Can the stock market anticipate future operating performance? Evidence from equity rights issues," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 9(1), pages 93-113, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:corfin:v:9:y:2003:i:1:p:93-113
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    Cited by:

    1. Proches Ngatuni & John Capstaff & Andrew Marshall, 2007. "Long‐Term Performance Following Rights Issues and Open Offers in the UK," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(1‐2), pages 33-64, January.
    2. Douglas Cumming & Simona Zambelli, 2017. "Due Diligence and Investee Performance," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 23(2), pages 211-253, March.
    3. Isiker, Murat & Tas, Oktay, 2021. "Does leverage level matter for return anomaly during rights issue announcements? The case of Islamic countries," Islamic Economic Studies, The Islamic Research and Training Institute (IRTI), vol. 28, pages 141-155.
    4. Stylianos Asimakopoulos & Filipa Da Silva Fernandes & Yiannis Karavias, 2020. "Firm Heterogeneity and Trade Credit Behaviour," Discussion Papers 20-20, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
    5. Consuelo Riano & Fco. Javier Ruiz & Rafael Santamaria, 2007. "Determinants of the underpricing of new shares during the subscription period: empirical evidence from the Spanish stock exchange," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(7), pages 521-540.
    6. Nils-Christian Bobenhausen & Astrid Juliane Salzmann, 2021. "Discount, transparency and announcements effects of equity rights offerings: international evidence," Journal of Business Economics, Springer, vol. 91(5), pages 733-758, July.
    7. Lo, Huai-Chun & Koedijk, Kees G. & Gao, Xiang & Hsu, Yuan-Teng, 2020. "How do job vacancy rates predict firm performance? A web crawling massive data perspective," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    8. Hue Hwa Au Yong & Christine Brown & Choy Yeing (Chloe) Ho & Chander Shekhar, 2021. "Rights issues: Retail shareholders and their participation decisions," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 21(3), pages 917-944, September.
    9. Andrikopoulos, Panagiotis, 2009. "Seasoned equity offerings, operating performance and overconfidence: Evidence from the UK," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 61(3), pages 189-215.
    10. Nils Bobenhausen & Wolfgang Breuer & Astrid Salzmann, 2020. "Determinants of discounts in equity rights issues: An international comparison," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 38(2), pages 300-320, April.
    11. Holderness, Clifford G., 2018. "Equity issuances and agency costs: The telling story of shareholder approval around the world," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(3), pages 415-439.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G3 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • M - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics
    • M41 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Accounting - - - Accounting

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