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Panel data, cointegration, causality and Wagner's law: Empirical evidence from Chinese provinces

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Author Info
Narayan, Paresh Kumar
Nielsen, Ingrid
Smyth, Russell

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Abstract

This paper tests Wagner's law of increasing state activity using panels of Chinese provinces. The paper's main methodological contribution is in that we employ for the first time in the literature on Wagner's law a panel unit root, panel cointegration and Granger causality testing approach. Overall, we find mixed evidence in support of Wagner's law for China's central and western provinces, but no support for Wagner's law for the full panel of provinces or for the panel of China's eastern provinces.

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File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/B6W46-4MWPV6N-1/1/a44861ab3c991c4cc3c64a91ea133696
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Elsevier in its journal China Economic Review.

Volume (Year): 19 (2008)
Issue (Month): 2 (June)
Pages: 297-307
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Handle: RePEc:eee:chieco:v:19:y:2008:i:2:p:297-307

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  4. Abizadeh, Sohrab & Yousefi, Mahmood, 1998. "An empirical analysis of South Korea's economic development and public expenditures growth," The Journal of Socio-Economics, Elsevier, vol. 27(6), pages 687-700. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Panos C. Afxentiou & Apostolos Serletis, 1996. "Government Expenditures In The European Union: Do They Converge Or Follow Wagner'S Law?," International Economic Journal, Korean International Economic Association, vol. 10(3), pages 33-47, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Kolluri, Bharat R & Panik, Michael J & Wahab, Mahmoud S, 2000. "Government Expenditure and Economic Growth: Evidence from G7 Countries," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 32(8), pages 1059-68, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  8. Chang, Tsangyao, 2002. "An Econometric Test of Wagner's Law for Six Countries Based on Cointegration and Error-Correction Modelling Techniques," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 34(9), pages 1157-69, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Ahsan, Syed M & Kwan, Andy C C & Sahni, Balbir S, 1996. "Cointegration and Wagner's Hypothesis: Time Series Evidence for Canada," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 28(8), pages 1055-58, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  10. Song, Shunfeng & Chu, George S. -F. & Chao, Rongqing, 2000. "Intercity regional disparity in China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 11(3), pages 246-261. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  11. Abizadeh, Sohrab & Yousefi, Mahmood, 1988. "An empirical re-examination of Wagner's law," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 26(2), pages 169-173. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  12. Biswal, Bagala & Dhawan, Urvashi & Lee, Hooi-Yean, 1999. "Testing Wagner versus Keynes Using Disaggregated Public Expenditure Data for Canada," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 31(10), pages 1283-91, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  13. Lee, Jongchul, 2000. "Changes in the source of China's regional inequality," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 11(3), pages 232-245. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  14. Oxley, Les, 1994. "Cointegration, Causality and Wagner's Law: A Test for Britain 1870-1913," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 41(3), pages 286-98, August.
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  16. Yang, Dennis Tao, 2002. "What has caused regional inequality in China?," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 13(4), pages 331-334, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  18. Gyles, A F, 1991. "A Time-Domain Transfer Function Model of Wagner's Law: The Case of the United Kingdom Economy," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 23(2), pages 327-30, February.
  19. Granger, C. W. J. & Newbold, P., 1974. "Spurious regressions in econometrics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 2(2), pages 111-120, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  20. Jian, Tianlun & Sachs, Jeffrey D. & Warner, Andrew M., 1996. "Trends in regional inequality in China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 7(1), pages 1-21. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  21. Bird, Richard M, 1971. "Wagner's o Law' of Expanding State Activity," Public Finance = Finances publiques, , vol. 26(1), pages 1-26.
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  23. Ferda Halicioglu, 2005. "Testing Wagner's Law for Turkey, 1960-2003," Public Economics 0502013, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
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  24. Tobin, Damian, 2005. "Economic Liberalization, the Changing Role of the State and "Wagner's Law": China's Development Experience since 1978," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 33(5), pages 729-743, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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