IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/appene/v198y2017icp49-64.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

An integrated model for assessing electricity retailer’s profitability with demand response

Author

Listed:
  • Dagoumas, Athanasios S.
  • Polemis, Michael L.

Abstract

This paper introduces a model that integrates a Unit Commitment (UC) model, which performs the simulation of the day-ahead electricity market, combined with an econometric model that estimates the income and price elasticities of electricity demand. The integrated model is further extended to estimate the retailers’ profitability with demand responsive consumers. The applicability of the proposed model is illustrated in the Greek day-ahead electricity market. The model is designed to identify the effects of demand responsiveness to the fluctuations of spot prices, based on their short-term price elasticities. It provides price signals on the profitability of retailers/demand aggregators, when forming their tariffs. We argue that the non-linearity between demand response and evolution of wholesale price, inherits risk for retailers. This finding could lead even to losses for some time periods, affecting strongly their viability. The model provides useful insights into the risk of retailers from their price responsive customers and therefore acts as a pivotal study to policy makers and government officials (i.e. regulators, transmission and distribution system operators) active in the electricity market.

Suggested Citation

  • Dagoumas, Athanasios S. & Polemis, Michael L., 2017. "An integrated model for assessing electricity retailer’s profitability with demand response," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 198(C), pages 49-64.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:198:y:2017:i:c:p:49-64
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2017.04.050
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306261917304476
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.apenergy.2017.04.050?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ströhle, Philipp & Flath, Christoph M., 2016. "Local matching of flexible load in smart grids," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 253(3), pages 811-824.
    2. Nojavan, Sayyad & Zare, Kazem & Mohammadi-Ivatloo, Behnam, 2017. "Optimal stochastic energy management of retailer based on selling price determination under smart grid environment in the presence of demand response program," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 187(C), pages 449-464.
    3. Qadrdan, Meysam & Cheng, Meng & Wu, Jianzhong & Jenkins, Nick, 2017. "Benefits of demand-side response in combined gas and electricity networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 192(C), pages 360-369.
    4. Boroumand, Raphaël Homayoun & Goutte, Stéphane & Porcher, Simon & Porcher, Thomas, 2015. "Hedging strategies in energy markets: The case of electricity retailers," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 503-509.
    5. Chemla, Gilles & Touzi, Nizar & Aïd, René & Porchet, Arnaud, 2011. "Hedging and Vertical Integration in Electricity Markets," CEPR Discussion Papers 8313, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    6. Hondroyiannis, George & Lolos, Sarantis & Papapetrou, Evangelia, 2002. "Energy consumption and economic growth: assessing the evidence from Greece," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 24(4), pages 319-336, July.
    7. Forrest, Sam & MacGill, Iain, 2013. "Assessing the impact of wind generation on wholesale prices and generator dispatch in the Australian National Electricity Market," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 120-132.
    8. Panapakidis, Ioannis P. & Dagoumas, Athanasios S., 2016. "Day-ahead electricity price forecasting via the application of artificial neural network based models," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 172(C), pages 132-151.
    9. Downward, Anthony & Young, David & Zakeri, Golbon, 2016. "Electricity retail contracting under risk-aversion," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 251(3), pages 846-859.
    10. Polemis, Michael L. & Dagoumas, Athanasios S., 2013. "The electricity consumption and economic growth nexus: Evidence from Greece," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 798-808.
    11. René Aïd & Gilles Chemla & Arnaud Porchet & Nizar Touzi, 2011. "Hedging and Vertical Integration in Electricity Markets," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 57(8), pages 1438-1452, August.
    12. Feuerriegel, Stefan & Bodenbenner, Philipp & Neumann, Dirk, 2016. "Value and granularity of ICT and smart meter data in demand response systems," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 1-10.
    13. Ferguson, Ross & Wilkinson, William & Hill, Robert, 2000. "Electricity use and economic development," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 28(13), pages 923-934, November.
    14. Koltsaklis, Nikolaos E. & Dagoumas, Athanasios S. & Georgiadis, Michael C. & Papaioannou, George & Dikaiakos, Christos, 2016. "A mid-term, market-based power systems planning model," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 17-35.
    15. Payne, James E., 2010. "A survey of the electricity consumption-growth literature," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(3), pages 723-731, March.
    16. Clò, Stefano & Cataldi, Alessandra & Zoppoli, Pietro, 2015. "The merit-order effect in the Italian power market: The impact of solar and wind generation on national wholesale electricity prices," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 79-88.
    17. repec:dau:papers:123456789/11029 is not listed on IDEAS
    18. Fotouhi Ghazvini, Mohammad Ali & Soares, João & Horta, Nuno & Neves, Rui & Castro, Rui & Vale, Zita, 2015. "A multi-objective model for scheduling of short-term incentive-based demand response programs offered by electricity retailers," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 151(C), pages 102-118.
    19. Clastres, Cédric & Khalfallah, Haikel, 2015. "An analytical approach to activating demand elasticity with a demand response mechanism," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(PA), pages 195-206.
    20. Wang, Jianxiao & Zhong, Haiwang & Lai, Xiaowen & Xia, Qing & Shu, Chang & Kang, Chongqing, 2017. "Distributed real-time demand response based on Lagrangian multiplier optimal selection approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 949-959.
    21. Koltsaklis, Nikolaos E. & Georgiadis, Michael C., 2015. "A multi-period, multi-regional generation expansion planning model incorporating unit commitment constraints," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 158(C), pages 310-331.
    22. Howlader, Harun Or Rashid & Matayoshi, Hidehito & Senjyu, Tomonobu, 2016. "Distributed generation integrated with thermal unit commitment considering demand response for energy storage optimization of smart grid," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 107-117.
    23. Frank A. Wolak, 2011. "Do Residential Customers Respond to Hourly Prices? Evidence from a Dynamic Pricing Experiment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 101(3), pages 83-87, May.
    24. Zugno, Marco & Morales, Juan Miguel & Pinson, Pierre & Madsen, Henrik, 2013. "A bilevel model for electricity retailers' participation in a demand response market environment," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 182-197.
    25. Genc, Talat S., 2016. "Measuring demand responses to wholesale electricity prices using market power indices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 247-260.
    26. Jamil, Faisal & Ahmad, Eatzaz, 2011. "Income and price elasticities of electricity demand: Aggregate and sector-wise analyses," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(9), pages 5519-5527, September.
    27. Koltsaklis, Nikolaos E. & Dagoumas, Athanasios S. & Kopanos, Georgios M. & Pistikopoulos, Efstratios N. & Georgiadis, Michael C., 2014. "A spatial multi-period long-term energy planning model: A case study of the Greek power system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 456-482.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Zhang, Yuanyuan & Zhao, Huiru & Li, Bingkang & Zhao, Yihang & Qi, Ze, 2022. "Research on credit rating and risk measurement of electricity retailers based on Bayesian Best Worst Method-Cloud Model and improved Credit Metrics model in China's power market," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 252(C).
    2. repec:eco:journ2:2017-04-08 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Lu, Renzhi & Hong, Seung Ho & Zhang, Xiongfeng, 2018. "A Dynamic pricing demand response algorithm for smart grid: Reinforcement learning approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 220(C), pages 220-230.
    4. Dagoumas, Athanasios & Polemis, Michael, 2018. "Analysing Carbon Pass-Through Rate Mechanism in the Electricity Sector: Evidence from Greece," MPRA Paper 91067, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Zhang, Lingxi & Good, Nicholas & Mancarella, Pierluigi, 2019. "Building-to-grid flexibility: Modelling and assessment metrics for residential demand response from heat pump aggregations," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 233, pages 709-723.
    6. Allard, Stéphane & Debusschere, Vincent & Mima, Silvana & Quoc, Tuan Tran & Hadjsaid, Nouredine & Criqui, Patrick, 2020. "Considering distribution grids and local flexibilities in the prospective development of the European power system by 2050," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 270(C).
    7. Grimm, Veronika & Orlinskaya, Galina & Schewe, Lars & Schmidt, Martin & Zöttl, Gregor, 2021. "Optimal design of retailer-prosumer electricity tariffs using bilevel optimization," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    8. Nikolaos Koltsaklis & Athanasios Dagoumas, 2018. "Policy Implications of Power Exchanges on Operational Scheduling: Evaluating EUPHEMIA’s Market Products in Case of Greece," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-26, October.
    9. Athanasios Dagoumas, 2019. "Assessing the Impact of Cybersecurity Attacks on Power Systems," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-23, February.
    10. Dadashi, Mojtaba & Haghifam, Sara & Zare, Kazem & Haghifam, Mahmoud-Reza & Abapour, Mehdi, 2020. "Short-term scheduling of electricity retailers in the presence of Demand Response Aggregators: A two-stage stochastic Bi-Level programming approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    11. Ioannis Panapakidis & Nikolaos Asimopoulos & Athanasios Dagoumas & Georgios C. Christoforidis, 2017. "An Improved Fuzzy C-Means Algorithm for the Implementation of Demand Side Management Measures," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-42, September.
    12. Panagiotis Adraktas & Athanasios Dagoumas, 2019. "Integration of Electric Vehicles in the Unit Commitment Problem with Uncertain Renewable Electricity Generation," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 9(2), pages 315-333.
    13. Michael L. Polemis, 2018. "A mixed integer linear programming model to regulate the electricity sector," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 11(2), pages 183-208, July.
    14. Vallés, Mercedes & Bello, Antonio & Reneses, Javier & Frías, Pablo, 2018. "Probabilistic characterization of electricity consumer responsiveness to economic incentives," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 216(C), pages 296-310.
    15. Zhou, Yue & Wu, Jianzhong & Long, Chao, 2018. "Evaluation of peer-to-peer energy sharing mechanisms based on a multiagent simulation framework," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 222(C), pages 993-1022.
    16. Hui Wang & Congcong Wang & Wenhui Zhao, 2022. "Decision on Mixed Trading between Medium- and Long-Term Markets and Spot Markets for Electricity Sales Companies under New Electricity Reform Policies," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(24), pages 1-23, December.
    17. Komorowska, Aleksandra & Benalcazar, Pablo & Kaszyński, Przemysław & Kamiński, Jacek, 2020. "Economic consequences of a capacity market implementation: The case of Poland," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    18. Stéphane Allard & Vincent Debusschere & Silvana Mima & Tuan Tran Quoc & Nouredine Hadjsaid & Patrick Criqui, 2020. "Considering distribution grids and local flexibilities in the prospective development of the European power system by 2050," Post-Print hal-03133109, HAL.
    19. Guo, Bowei & Weeks, Melvyn, 2022. "Dynamic tariffs, demand response, and regulation in retail electricity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
    20. Tian, Xiaoge & Chen, Weiming & Hu, Jinglu, 2023. "Game-theoretic modeling of power supply chain coordination under demand variation in China: A case study of Guangdong Province," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 262(PA).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Michael L. Polemis, 2018. "A mixed integer linear programming model to regulate the electricity sector," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 11(2), pages 183-208, July.
    2. Dagoumas, Athanasios S. & Koltsaklis, Nikolasos E. & Panapakidis, Ioannis P., 2017. "An integrated model for risk management in electricity trade," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 350-363.
    3. Koltsaklis, Nikolaos E. & Nazos, Konstantinos, 2017. "A stochastic MILP energy planning model incorporating power market dynamics," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 205(C), pages 1364-1383.
    4. Koltsaklis, Nikolaos E. & Dagoumas, Athanasios S. & Panapakidis, Ioannis P., 2017. "Impact of the penetration of renewables on flexibility needs," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 360-369.
    5. Koltsaklis, Nikolaos E. & Dagoumas, Athanasios S., 2018. "State-of-the-art generation expansion planning: A review," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 230(C), pages 563-589.
    6. Grimm, Veronika & Orlinskaya, Galina & Schewe, Lars & Schmidt, Martin & Zöttl, Gregor, 2021. "Optimal design of retailer-prosumer electricity tariffs using bilevel optimization," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    7. Koltsaklis, Nikolaos E. & Dagoumas, Athanasios S. & Georgiadis, Michael C. & Papaioannou, George & Dikaiakos, Christos, 2016. "A mid-term, market-based power systems planning model," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 17-35.
    8. Paolo Falbo & Carlos Ruiz, 2021. "Joint optimization of sales-mix and generation plan for a large electricity producer," Papers 2110.02016, arXiv.org.
    9. Polemis, Michael L., 2016. "New evidence on the impact of structural reforms on electricity sector performance," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 420-431.
    10. Clastres, Cédric & Khalfallah, Haikel, 2021. "Dynamic pricing efficiency with strategic retailers and consumers: An analytical analysis of short-term market interactions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    11. Russo, Marianna & Bertsch, Valentin, 2020. "A looming revolution: Implications of self-generation for the risk exposure of retailers," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    12. Michael L. Polemis & Thanasis Stengos, 2017. "Electricity Sector Performance: A Panel Threshold Analysis," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 3).
    13. Boroumand, Raphaël-Homayoun & Goutte, Stéphane & Guesmi, Khaled & Porcher, Thomas, 2019. "Potential benefits of optimal intra-day electricity hedging for the environment: The perspective of electricity retailers," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 1120-1129.
    14. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Sarwar, Suleman & Chen, Wei & Malik, Muhammad Nasir, 2017. "Dynamics of electricity consumption, oil price and economic growth: Global perspective," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 256-270.
    15. Falbo, Paolo & Ruiz, Carlos, 2019. "Optimal sales-mix and generation plan in a two-stage electricity market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 598-614.
    16. Russo, Marianna & Kraft, Emil & Bertsch, Valentin & Keles, Dogan, 2022. "Short-term risk management of electricity retailers under rising shares of decentralized solar generation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    17. Cédric Clastres & Haikel Khalfallah, 2021. "Dynamic pricing efficiency with strategic retailers and consumers: An analytical analysis of short-term market interactions," Post-Print hal-03193212, HAL.
    18. Nojavan, Sayyad & Zare, Kazem & Mohammadi-Ivatloo, Behnam, 2017. "Optimal stochastic energy management of retailer based on selling price determination under smart grid environment in the presence of demand response program," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 187(C), pages 449-464.
    19. Stephan B. Bruns, Christian Gross and David I. Stern, 2014. "Is There Really Granger Causality Between Energy Use and Output?," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 4).
    20. Tang, Bao-Jun & Li, Ru & Li, Xiao-Yi & Chen, Hao, 2017. "An optimal production planning model of coal-fired power industry in China: Considering the process of closing down inefficient units and developing CCS technologies," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 206(C), pages 519-530.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:198:y:2017:i:c:p:49-64. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/405891/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.