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Estimating the effect of price limits on limit-hitting days

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  • Jeff Chung
  • Li Gan
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Abstract

This study examines whether price limits affect underlying equilibrium prices on limit-hitting days. To identify two effects--a ceiling effect and a cooling or heating effect (C--H effect)--we use the fact that equilibrium prices are reached at the day immediately after price limits are hit. We estimate the C--H effect by letting the return series be mixture normal to capture the possible "fat tails." We apply our models to five randomly selected Taiwanese stocks and all the continuously traded stocks in our sample period. The simple normal density which would lead one to conclude that price limits can "cool off" stock prices is soundly rejected. However, if normal mixture density is used, one would generally conclude that price limits will have no effect on the variance of stock returns. Copyright 2005 Royal Economic Society

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Royal Economic Society in its journal The Econometrics Journal.

Volume (Year): 8 (2005)
Issue (Month): 1 (03)
Pages: 79-96

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Handle: RePEc:ect:emjrnl:v:8:y:2005:i:1:p:79-96

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Cited by:
  1. Farag, Hisham, 2013. "Price limit bands, asymmetric volatility and stock market anomalies: Evidence from emerging markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 24(1), pages 85-97.
  2. Halim DABBOU & Ahmed SILEM, 2014. "Price Limit and Financial Contagion: Protection or Illusion? The Tunisian Stock Exchange Case," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 4(1), pages 54-70.
  3. Hsieh, Ping-Hung & Yang, J. Jimmy, 2009. "A censored stochastic volatility approach to the estimation of price limit moves," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 337-351, March.

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