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Expectation and Variation in Multi-period Decisions

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Author Info
Gilboa, Itzhak

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Abstract

This paper suggests an alternative to the weighted average utility maximization as a criterion for multiperiod decisions. A weakened version of Savage's sure-thing principle, imposed on Schmeidler's nonadditive measure model, yields decision rules which involve a weighted average of utility, as well as a weighted average of the utility's variation between each two consecutive periods. The analysis allows for definition and characterization of variation aversion, liking, and neutrality. Copyright 1989 by The Econometric Society.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Econometric Society in its journal Econometrica.

Volume (Year): 57 (1989)
Issue (Month): 5 (September)
Pages: 1153-69
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Handle: RePEc:ecm:emetrp:v:57:y:1989:i:5:p:1153-69

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  1. Dan Protopopescu, 2007. "Improving the Risk Concept: A Revision of Arrow-Pratt Theory in the Context of Controlled Dynamic Stochastic Environments," UFAE and IAE Working Papers 727.08, Unitat de Fonaments de l'Anàlisi Econòmica (UAB) and Institut d'Anàlisi Econòmica (CSIC), revised 08 Jan 2009. [Downloadable!]
  2. Jonathan Shalev, 1998. "Loss Aversion in Repeated Games," Game Theory and Information 9802005, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Itzhak Gilboa & Akihiko Matsui, 1990. "A Model of Random Matching," Discussion Papers 887, Northwestern University, Center for Mathematical Studies in Economics and Management Science. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Protopopescu Dan, 2008. "Improving the Effort Concept: A Revision of the Traditional Approach in the Context of Controlled Dynamic Stochastic Environments," UFAE and IAE Working Papers 739.08, Unitat de Fonaments de l'Anàlisi Econòmica (UAB) and Institut d'Anàlisi Econòmica (CSIC), revised 08 Jan 2009. [Downloadable!]
  5. De Waegenaere, A. & Wakker, P., 1997. "Choquet integrals with respect to non-monotonic set functions," Discussion Paper 44, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
  6. Jonathan Shalev, 1994. "Loss Aversion in a Multi-Period Model," Game Theory and Information 9407001, EconWPA, revised 18 Mar 1997. [Downloadable!]
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  7. Diecidue, E. & Wakker, P.P., 2000. "On the intuition of rank-dependent utility," Discussion Paper 74, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
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  8. Christian Bauer, . "Products of convex measures: A Fubini theorem," Macroeconomics, Department of Economics, Economics I, Bayreuth University. [Downloadable!]
  9. Halevy, Yoram, 2004. "Strotz meets Allais: Diminishing Impatience and the Certainty Effect," Micro Theory Working Papers halevy-04-10-29-10-08-43, Microeconomics.ca Website, revised 19 Jun 2008. [Downloadable!]
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  10. Atsushi Kajii & Hiroyuki Kojima & Takashi Ui, 2005. "Cominimum Additive Operators," KIER Working Papers 601, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
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