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Expectation and Variation in Multi-period Decisions

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  • Gilboa, Itzhak

Abstract

This paper suggests an alternative to the weighted average utility maximization as a criterion for multiperiod decisions. A weakened version of Savage's sure-thing principle, imposed on Schmeidler's nonadditive measure model, yields decision rules which involve a weighted average of utility, as well as a weighted average of the utility's variation between each two consecutive periods. The analysis allows for definition and characterization of variation aversion, liking, and neutrality. Copyright 1989 by The Econometric Society.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Econometric Society in its journal Econometrica.

Volume (Year): 57 (1989)
Issue (Month): 5 (September)
Pages: 1153-69

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Handle: RePEc:ecm:emetrp:v:57:y:1989:i:5:p:1153-69

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Citations

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Cited by:
  1. Diecidue, E. & Wakker, P.P., 2000. "On the Intuition of Rank-Dependent Utility," Discussion Paper 2000-74, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
  2. Takao Asano & Hiroyuki Kojima, 2013. "Modularity and Monotonicity of Games," KIER Working Papers 871, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
  3. Gilboa, Itzhak & Matsui, Akihiko, 1992. "A model of random matching," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 185-197.
  4. Atsushi Kajii & Hiroyuki Kojima & Takashi Ui, 2005. "Cominimum Additive Operators," KIER Working Papers 601, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
  5. De Waegenaere, A.M.B. & Wakker, P.P., 1997. "Choquet Integrals With Respect to Non-Monotonic Set Functions," Discussion Paper 1997-44, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
  6. Wakai, Katsutoshi, 2013. "An alternative axiomatization of intertemporal utility smoothing," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 119(2), pages 224-227.
  7. Araujo, Aloisio & Novinski, Rodrigo & Páscoa, Mário R., 2011. "General equilibrium, wariness and efficient bubbles," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 146(3), pages 785-811, May.
  8. Wakai, Katsutoshi, 2012. "An infinite-horizon model of nonmonotone utility smoothing," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 116(2), pages 170-173.
  9. Jonathan Shalev, 1994. "Loss Aversion in a Multi-Period Model," Game Theory and Information 9407001, EconWPA, revised 18 Mar 1997.
  10. Protopopescu Dan, 2008. "Improving the Effort Concept: A Revision of the Traditional Approach in the Context of Controlled Dynamic Stochastic Environments," UFAE and IAE Working Papers 739.08, Unitat de Fonaments de l'Anàlisi Econòmica (UAB) and Institut d'Anàlisi Econòmica (CSIC), revised 03 Dec 2009.
  11. Chateauneuf, Alain & Rebille, Yann, 2004. "Some characterizations of non-additive multi-period models," Mathematical Social Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 48(3), pages 235-250, November.
  12. Takao Asano & Hiroyuki Kojima, 2013. "An Axiomatization of Choquet Expected Utility with Cominimum Independence," KIER Working Papers 878, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
  13. Dan Protopopescu, 2007. "Improving the Risk Concept: A Revision of Arrow-Pratt Theory in the Context of Controlled Dynamic Stochastic Environments," UFAE and IAE Working Papers 727.08, Unitat de Fonaments de l'Anàlisi Econòmica (UAB) and Institut d'Anàlisi Econòmica (CSIC), revised 03 Dec 2009.
  14. André Lapied & Olivier Renault, 2012. "An Investigation of Time Consistency for Subjective Discontinued Utility," Working Papers halshs-00793174, HAL.
  15. Chateauneuf, Alain & Ventura, Caroline, 2013. "G-continuity, impatience and myopia for Choquet multi-period utilities," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(1), pages 97-105.
  16. SHALEV, Jonathan, 1998. "Loss aversion in repeated games," CORE Discussion Papers 1998014, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
  17. Bleichrodt, Han & Gafni, Amiram, 1996. "Time preference, the discounted utility model and health," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 15(1), pages 49-66, February.
  18. Wakai, Katsutoshi, 2011. "Modeling nonmonotone preferences: The case of utility smoothing," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(2), pages 213-226, March.

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