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Testing for Structural Change in Dynamic Models

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Author Info
Kramer, Walter
Ploberger, Werner
Alt, Raimund

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Abstract

The well-known CUSUM test for structural change is investigated whe n there are lagged dependent variables among the regressors in a linear model. The authors show that both a modified CUSUM test, suggested b y J. M. Dufour (1982), and the straightforward CUSUM test retain their asymptotic significance levels in dynamic models, and find that the power depends crucially on the angle between the mean regressor and the structural shift. Copyright 1988 by The Econometric Society.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Econometric Society in its journal Econometrica.

Volume (Year): 56 (1988)
Issue (Month): 6 (November)
Pages: 1355-69
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Handle: RePEc:ecm:emetrp:v:56:y:1988:i:6:p:1355-69

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  1. Jose Olmo & William Pouliot, 2008. "U-statistic Type Tests for Structural Breaks in Linear Regression Models," City University Economics Discussion Papers 08/15, Department of Economics, City University, London. [Downloadable!]
  2. Jamie Emerson & Chihwa Kao, 2000. "Testing for Structural Change of a Time Trend Regression in Panel Data," Center for Policy Research Working Papers 15, Center for Policy Research, Maxwell School, Syracuse University. [Downloadable!]
  3. M. Angeles Carnero & Daniel Peña & Esther Ruiz, 2004. "Detecting Level Shifts In The Presence Of Conditional Heteroscedasticity," Working Papers. Serie AD 2004-06, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie). [Downloadable!]
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  4. Ai Deng & Pierre Perron, 2005. "The Limit Distribution of the CUSUM of Square Test Under Genreal MIxing Conditions," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series WP2005-046, Boston University - Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  5. Pierre Perron & Tomoyoshi Yabu, 2007. "Estimating Deterministic Trend with an Integrated or Stationary Noise Component," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series WP2007-020, Boston University - Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  6. Oleg Glouchakov, 2006. "Joint change point estimation in regression coeffcients and variances of the errors of a linear model," Working Papers 2006_3, York University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  7. Michael Funke, 2001. "Money Demand in Euroland," Quantitative Macroeconomics Working Papers 20112, Hamburg University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  8. Luis Fernando Melo Velandia & Martha Alicia Misas Arango, 2004. "Modelos Estructurales de Inflación en Colombia: Estimación a través de Mínimos Cuadrados Flexibles," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 003244, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA. [Downloadable!]
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  9. Ozgen Sayginsoy & Tim Vogelsang, 2004. "Powerful Tests of Structural Change That are Robust to Strong Serial Correlation," Discussion Papers 04-08, University at Albany, SUNY, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  10. Stanislav Anatolyev & Grigory Kosenok, 2008. "Sequential Testing with Uniformly Distributed Size," Working Papers w0123, Center for Economic and Financial Research (CEFIR). [Downloadable!]
  11. Ai Deng & Pierre Perron, 2007. "A Non-local Perspective on the Power Properties of the CUSUM and CUSUM of Squares Tests for Structural Change," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series WP2007-019, Boston University - Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  12. Doug Hostland, . "CHANGES IN THE INFLATION PROCESS IN CANADA: Evidence and Implications," Working Papers 95-5, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
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  13. Anindya Banerjee & Robin L. Lumsdaine, 1990. "Recursive and Sequential Tests of the Unit Root and Trend Break Hypothesis: Theory and International Evidence," NBER Working Papers 3510, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  14. Marine Carrasco, 2004. "Chi-square Tests for Parameter Stability," RCER Working Papers 508, University of Rochester - Center for Economic Research (RCER). [Downloadable!]
  15. Duc NGUYEN, 2008. "An empirical analysis of structural changes in emerging market volatility," Economics Bulletin, Economics Bulletin, vol. 6(10), pages 1-10. [Downloadable!]
  16. Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Pittis, Nikitas, 2004. "Robustness of the CUSUM and CUSUM-of-Squares Tests to Serial Correlation, Endogeneity and Lack of Structural Invariance. Some Monte Carlo Evidence," Economics Series 157, Institute for Advanced Studies. [Downloadable!]
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