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An Econometric Analysis of Fluctuations in Aggregate Labor Supply and Demand

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Author Info
Kennan, John

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Abstract

This paper contains an equilibrium model of the labor market. The supply function allows f or temporal substitution in response to wage fluctuations, and the de mand function allows for adjustment costs. Two related issues are emp hasized: identification of supply and demand functions, and sources o f serial correlation in employment and real wages. When the supply an d demand shocks are AR(1) processes, the equilibrium process for empl oyment and real wages is a restricted VAR(2). The supply and demand f unctions are (locally) identified using only employment and real wage data. An illustrative application is presented, using U.S. data for 1948-71. Copyright 1988 by The Econometric Society.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Econometric Society in its journal Econometrica.

Volume (Year): 56 (1988)
Issue (Month): 2 (March)
Pages: 317-33
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Handle: RePEc:ecm:emetrp:v:56:y:1988:i:2:p:317-33

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  1. Robert E. Hall, 1998. "Macroeconomic Fluctuations and the Allocation of Time," NBER Working Papers 5933, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Robert A. Amano, . "Empirical Evidence on the Cost of Adjustment and Dynamic Labour Demand," Working Papers 95-3, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Francisco J. Goerlich Gisbert, 1992. "Un test alternativo de la hipótesis de sustitución intertemporal del trabajo," Investigaciones Economicas, Fundación SEPI, vol. 16(2), pages 259-280, May. [Downloadable!]
  4. John Creedy & Alan Duncan, 2001. "Aggregating labour supply and feedback effects in microsimulation," IFS Working Papers W01/24, Institute for Fiscal Studies. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  5. David Card, 1988. "Unexpected Inflation, Real Wages, and Employment Determination in Union Contracts," Working Papers 612, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Industrial Relations Section.. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  6. Norikazu Tawara & Gerwin Bell, 2009. "The Size of Government and U.S.-European Differences in Economic Performance," IMF Working Papers 09/92, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  7. repec:fth:prinin:232 is not listed on IDEAS
  8. David Card, 1987. "Supply and Demand in the Labor Market," Working Papers 608, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Industrial Relations Section.. [Downloadable!]
  9. Fabio Canova & Luca Sala, 2007. "Back to square one: identification issues in DSGE models," Banco de España Working Papers 0715, Banco de España. [Downloadable!]
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  10. Lex Borghans, 2000. "Wage Elasticities of the Supply of R & D Workers in the Netherlands," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 1175, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
  11. Carrillo, J. & Fève, P. & Matheron, J., 2006. "Monetary Policy Inertia or Persistent Shocks?," Documents de Travail 150, Banque de France. [Downloadable!]
  12. Jean Kimmel, 1993. "The Intertemporal-Substitution Hypothesis is Alive and Well (But Hiding in the Data)," Staff Working Papers 93-19, W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  13. Robert B. Barsky & Gary Solon, 1989. "Real Wages Over The Business Cycle," NBER Working Papers 2888, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  14. Carrillo, Julio & Fève, Patrick & Matheron, Julien, 2007. "Monetary Policy Inertia or Persistent Shocks: A DSGE Analysis," IDEI Working Papers 431, Institut d'Économie Industrielle (IDEI), Toulouse. [Downloadable!]
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  15. Robert A. Amano & Tony S. Wirjanto, . "The Dynamic Behaviour of Canadian Imports and the Linear-Quadratic Model: Evidence Based on the Euler Equation," Working Papers 94-6, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
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  16. Charles A. Fleischman, 1997. "The GMM parameter normalization puzzle," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 1997-43, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
  17. Olivier J. Blanchard, 1990. "Empirical Structural Evidence on Wages, Prices and Employment in the US," NBER Working Papers 2044, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
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