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Explaining The Shakeout Process: A 'Successive Submarkets' Model

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  • Jian Tong

Abstract

This article explains contemporaneous exit and entry in a new industry with a diffusion process across submarkets. It allows a re-interpretation of the shakeout process in some industries in a novel way. The industry is a collection of initially inactive independent submarkets; the timing of their activation is determined by an exogenous aggregate diffusion process. New submarket opening attracts new entry. However, the post-entry endogenous sunk investment requirement induced by innovations also forces much exit to follow entry. The aggregate market thus has overlapping exit and entry; and has a shakeout if the aggregate diffusion process follows a typical S-shape. Copyright © The Author(s). Journal compilation © Royal Economic Society 2009.

Suggested Citation

  • Jian Tong, 2009. "Explaining The Shakeout Process: A 'Successive Submarkets' Model," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 119(537), pages 950-975, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:ecj:econjl:v:119:y:2009:i:537:p:950-975
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    Cited by:

    1. Matthew Mitchell & Andrzej Skrzypacz, 2015. "A Theory of Market Pioneers, Dynamic Capabilities, and Industry Evolution," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 61(7), pages 1598-1614, July.
    2. Bester, Helmut & Milliou, Chrysovalantou & Petrakis, Emmanuel, 2012. "Wage bargaining, productivity growth and long-run industry structure," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 19(6), pages 923-930.
    3. Lalit Manral, 2015. "The demand-side dynamics of entrant heterogeneity," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 25(2), pages 401-445, April.
    4. Lefilleur, Julien & Maurel, Mathilde, 2010. "Inter- and intra-industry linkages as a determinant of FDI in Central and Eastern Europe," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 309-330, September.

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