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The Rise and Fall of Asylum: What Happened and Why?

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TimothyJ. Hatton

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Abstract

In the last 20 years, developed countries have struggled with a rising tide of asylum seekers, a trend that has now reversed. This article examines what happened and why. It surveys the trends in asylum seeking and the literature that this has generated. It provides new regression estimates of the determinants of asylum applications up to the present. The key findings are that violence and terror can account for much of the variation and that, while tougher policies did have a deterrent effect, they account for only about a third of the decline in applications since 2001. Copyright © The Author(s). Journal compilation © Royal Economic Society 2009.

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File URL: http://www.blackwell-synergy.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1468-0297.2008.02228.x
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Royal Economic Society in its journal The Economic Journal.

Volume (Year): 119 (2009)
Issue (Month): 535 (02)
Pages: F183-F213
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Handle: RePEc:ecj:econjl:v:119:y:2009:i:535:p:f183-f213

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Web page: http://www.res.org.uk/
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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Timothy Hatton & Jeffery Williamson, 2002. "What Fundamentals Drive World Migration?," CEPR Discussion Papers 458, Centre for Economic Policy Research, Research School of Social Sciences, Australian National University. [Downloadable!]
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  2. DeVoretz, Don & Pivnenko, Sergiy & Beiser, Morton, 2004. "The Economic Experiences of Refugees in Canada," IZA Discussion Papers 1088, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
  3. Timothy J. Hatton, 2005. "European Asylum Policy," IZA Discussion Papers 1721, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
  4. Ralph Rotte & Michael Vogler, 2000. "The effects of development on migration: Theoretical issues and new empirical evidence," Journal of Population Economics, Springer, vol. 13(3), pages 485-508. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Eric Neumayer, 2003. "Bogus Refugees? The Determinants of Asylum Migration to Western Europe," Labor and Demography 0311002, EconWPA, revised 18 Feb 2004. [Downloadable!]
  6. Timothy J. Hatton, 2004. "Seeking asylum in Europe," Economic Policy, CEPR, CES, MSH, vol. 19(38), pages 5-62, 04. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Eric Neumayer, 2003. "Asylum Recognition Rates in Western Europe - Their Determinants, Variation and Lack of Convergence," Labor and Demography 0312004, EconWPA, revised 02 Sep 2004. [Downloadable!]
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