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Cointegration in Recursive Systems

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Author Info
Davidson, James
Hall, Stephen

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Abstract

This paper studies the cointegration properties of vector autoregressive models having a block triangular structure, where unit roots may appear in either the marginal or conditional subsystems, or both. In the former case, the conventional stability analysis of dynamic systems is extended to deal with integrated exogenous variables. The concept of target relations incorporates economic equilibrium relationships into the model, with observed cointegrating vectors being interpreted as linear combinations of these. Unstable models may be classified as containing insufficient or inconsistent targets, according to a rank condition on the sum of the lag coefficient matrices. Copyright 1991 by Royal Economic Society.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Royal Economic Society in its journal The Economic Journal.

Volume (Year): 101 (1991)
Issue (Month): 405 (March)
Pages: 239-51
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Handle: RePEc:ecj:econjl:v:101:y:1991:i:405:p:239-51

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  1. Stephen G Hall & George Hondroyiannis & P.A.V.B. Swamy & George S. Tavlas, 2008. "A Portfolio Balance Approach to Euro-Area Money Demand in a Time-Varying Environment," Discussion Papers in Economics 08/9, Department of Economics, University of Leicester. [Downloadable!]
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  2. Neil R. Ericsson & David F. Hendry & Grayham E. Mizon, 1998. "Exogeneity, cointegration, and economic policy analysis," International Finance Discussion Papers 616, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
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