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Unemployment expectations across heterogeneous groups

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Author Info
Marco Malgarini () (ISAE (Institute for Studies and Economic Analyses))
Patrizia Margani () (ISAE (Institute for Studies and Economic Analyses))

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Abstract

Relying on ISAE Italian data on consumers’ unemployment expectations, we analyse the process of unemployment expectations formation across different socio-economic groups, distinguished according to their working condition. We find that employees are unable to correctly incorporate the effects of the Biagi Law. This evidence seems to show that these agents do not consider the new forms of temporary job, resulting from the application of Biagi Law, as proper “employment” and hence do not correctly interpreted them as a reduction in the unemployment trend. This aspect may provide some preliminary explanations for the evidence of Italian consumers’ pessimism about the dynamics of the labour market, despite the falling of the unemployment rate occurred in Italy during the last years.

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File URL: http://economicsbulletin.vanderbilt.edu/2008/volume4/EB-08D10013A.pdf
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Economics Bulletin in its journal Economics Bulletin.

Volume (Year): 4 (2008)
Issue (Month): 31 ()
Pages: 1-6
Download reference. The following formats are available: HTML (with abstract), plain text (with abstract), BibTeX, RIS (EndNote, RefMan, ProCite), ReDIF
Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:v:4:y:2008:i:31:p:1-6

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Postal: Economics Bulletin, Department of Economics, 414 Calhoun Hall, Vanderbilt University, Nashville TN 37235, USA
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Related research
Keywords: Unemployment expectations; rational expectations hypothesis; heterogeneity; survey data;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
D1 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior
D8 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty

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This page was last updated on 2009-11-16.


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