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Betting on odds on Favorites as an Optimal Choice in Cumulative Prospect Theory

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Author Info
David Peel () (University of Lancaster UK)
David Law () (University of Bangor)

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Abstract

It is well known that the parametric version of Cumulative Prospect theory (CPT) proposed by Kahneman and Tversky (1979) and Tversky and Kahneman (1992) (KT) can explain gambling at actuarially unfair odds on long shots due to the over weighting of small probabilities. However betting on odds favorites appears problematic. We demonstrate using a parametric model of Cumulative Prospect Theory that nests that of Kahneman and Tversky that if agents are risk averse enough over gains and risk-seeking enough over losses then they will gamble on odds on chances at actuarially unfair odds even when there is no probability distortion. This previously unappreciated fact is interesting since many experimental results suggest that some respondents are very risk averse over gains.

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File URL: http://economicsbulletin.vanderbilt.edu/2007/volume4/EB-07D00007A.pdf
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Economics Bulletin in its journal Economics Bulletin.

Volume (Year): 4 (2007)
Issue (Month): 26 ()
Pages: 1-10
Download reference. The following formats are available: HTML, plain text, BibTeX, RIS (EndNote), ReDIF
Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:v:4:y:2007:i:26:p:1-10

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Postal: Economics Bulletin, Department of Economics, 414 Calhoun Hall, Vanderbilt University, Nashville TN 37235, USA
Phone: 615-322-2920
Fax: 615-343-8495
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Web page: http://www.economicsbulletin.com

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Related research
Keywords: Cumulative Prospect Theory Expo-Power Value Utility Function Gambling

Find related papers by JEL classification:
D0 - Microeconomics - - General
D0 - Microeconomics - - General

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