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Local Learning Dynamics

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Author Info
Orlando Gomes () (Escola Superior de Comunicação Social (IPL) and Economics Research Center (ERC - UNIDE/ISCTE))

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Abstract

The paper undertakes a detailed characterization of the local dynamic properties of three simple deterministic models involving expectations. The expectations are formed under an adaptive learning process. Allowing for different degrees of learning quality, the analysis reveals the existence of a large variety of possible long term outcomes: in some scenarios, stability and instability are independent of the learning quality; in other circumstances, some minimal requirement on learning efficiency is necessary to attain stability; in some settings, it is even possible that high quality learning may prevent attaining the stable outcome that otherwise is accomplished.

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File URL: http://economicsbulletin.vanderbilt.edu/2008/volume3/EB-08C60005A.pdf
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Economics Bulletin in its journal Economics Bulletin.

Volume (Year): 3 (2008)
Issue (Month): 57 ()
Pages: 1-15
Download reference. The following formats are available: HTML (with abstract), plain text (with abstract), BibTeX, RIS (EndNote, RefMan, ProCite), ReDIF
Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:v:3:y:2008:i:57:p:1-15

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Postal: Economics Bulletin, Department of Economics, 414 Calhoun Hall, Vanderbilt University, Nashville TN 37235, USA
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Related research
Keywords: Adaptive learning; Stability analysis; Expectations; Bifurcations.;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C6 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods and Programming
E0 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General

References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Cellarier, Laurent, 2006. "Constant gain learning and business cycles," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 51-85, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Koulovatianos, Christos & Mirman, Leonard J. & Santugini, Marc, 2009. "Optimal growth and uncertainty: Learning," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 144(1), pages 280-295, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  3. Bullard James, 1994. "Learning Equilibria," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 64(2), pages 468-485, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  4. Albert Marcet & Klaus Adam & Juan Pablo Nicolini, 2008. "Stock Market Volatility and Learning," UFAE and IAE Working Papers 732.08, Unitat de Fonaments de l'Anàlisi Econòmica (UAB) and Institut d'Anàlisi Econòmica (CSIC). [Downloadable!]
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  5. Marcet, Albert & Sargent, Thomas J., 1989. "Convergence of least squares learning mechanisms in self-referential linear stochastic models," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 48(2), pages 337-368, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. George Evans & Seppo Honkapohja, 2008. " Expectations, Learning and Monetary Policy: An Overview of Recent Research," CDMA Working Paper Series 0802, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis. [Downloadable!]
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  7. Schonhofer, Martin, 1999. "Chaotic Learning Equilibria," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 89(1), pages 1-20, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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