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Signal Qualities, Order of Decisions, and Informational Cascades: Experimental Evidence

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Author Info
Shunichiro Sasaki () (Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University)
Abstract

This experimental study investigates the effect of signal strength on the formation of informational cascades by introducing heterogeneous signal qualities associated with the fixed order of decisions on the two different decision-making systems, anti-seniority and seniority. Major findings include that complete cascades occur more frequently in seniority than in anti-seniority, that seniority is more efficient than anti-seniority, but increases the risk of creating negative cascades, and that private signals can be extracted more effectively in anti-seniority than in seniority. For both treatments, rational complete cascades occur less frequently than those suggested by the Bayesian model. For the heuristic subjects employed, the anchoring effect of private signals is partially identified.

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File URL: http://www.economicsbulletin.com/2005/volume3/EB-05C90006A.pdf
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Economics Bulletin in its journal Economics Bulletin.

Volume (Year): 3 (2005)
Issue (Month): 34 ()
Pages: 1-11
Download reference. The following formats are available: HTML (with abstract), plain text (with abstract), BibTeX, RIS (EndNote, RefMan, ProCite), ReDIF
Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:v:3:y:2005:i:34:p:1-11

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Related research
Keywords: anchoring effect; experiment; informational cascades; signal quality;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C9 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Design of Experiments
D8 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty

References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Boğaçhan Çelen & Shachar Kariv, 2004. "Distinguishing Informational Cascades from Herd Behavior in the Laboratory," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 94(3), pages 484-498, June. [Downloadable!]
  2. Anderson, Lisa R & Holt, Charles A, 1997. "Information Cascades in the Laboratory," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 87(5), pages 847-62, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Ottaviani, Marco & Sorensen, Peter, 2001. "Information aggregation in debate: who should speak first?," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(3), pages 393-421, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Huck, Steffen & Oechssler, Jorg, 2000. "Informational cascades in the laboratory: Do they occur for the right reasons?," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 21(6), pages 661-671, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Bikhchandani, Sushil & Hirshleifer, David & Welch, Ivo, 1992. "A Theory of Fads, Fashion, Custom, and Cultural Change in Informational Cascades," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 100(5), pages 992-1026, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Markus Noth & Martin Weber, 2003. "Information Aggregation with Random Ordering: Cascades and Overconfidence," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 113(484), pages 166-189, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Kraemer, Carlo & Nöth, Markus & Weber, Martin, 2000. "Information Aggregation with Costly Information and Random Ordering: Experimental Evidence," Sonderforschungsbereich 504 Publications 00-35, Sonderforschungsbereich 504, Universität Mannheim & Sonderforschungsbereich 504, University of Mannheim. [Downloadable!]
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