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Socio-demographic determinants of the support for Turkey's Justice and Development Party

Author

Listed:
  • Cem Baslevent

    (Istanbul Bilgi University)

Abstract

Using official census data for the province of Istanbul, we identify the determinants of the support for the Justice and Development Party (AKP) which has been in power in Turkey since 2002. District-level socio-demographic indicators such as the gender gap in education and the mean age - which are expected to proxy for social conservatism and the fertility rate, respectively - perform remarkably well as predictors of the party's vote share. The econometric findings are in line with the hypothesis that the AKP has benefited from the existing living conditions of the urban population, especially in peripheral metropolitan areas, and has been particularly successful in identifying the worldviews and addressing the needs of conservative voters many of whom are first or second generation migrants.

Suggested Citation

  • Cem Baslevent, 2013. "Socio-demographic determinants of the support for Turkey's Justice and Development Party," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 33(2), pages 1215-1228.
    • Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-13-00179
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    File URL: http://www.accessecon.com/Pubs/EB/2013/Volume33/EB-13-V33-I2-P115.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Baslevent, Cem & Akarca, Ali T., 2008. "Micro evidence on inter-party vote movements in turkey: Who voted for AKP in 2002?," MPRA Paper 11683, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Ali T. AKARCA & Cem BAŞLEVENT, 2010. "The region-of-origin effect on voting behavior: The case of Turkey’s internal migrants," Iktisat Isletme ve Finans, Bilgesel Yayincilik, vol. 25(297), pages 9-36.
    3. Akarca, Ali T., 2008. "Inter-party vote movements in Turkey between 1999 and 2002: A statistical analysis using cross-provincial election data," MPRA Paper 9627, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    socio-demographics; voting behavior; gender gap in education; Turkey;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J1 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics
    • R1 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics

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