Bootstrap panel granger-causality between government budget and external deficits for the EU
Abstract
We investigate the existence of Granger-causality between current account and government budget balances over the period 1970-2007, for different EU and OECD country groupings. We use a panel-data approach based on SUR systems and Wald tests with country specific bootstrap critical values. Our results show a causal relation from budget deficits to current account deficits for several EU countries: Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Estonia, Finland, France, Italy, Hungary, Lithuania, Poland, and Slovakia, along the lines of the so-called twin-deficit relationship. Considering the effective real exchange rate in the SUR system does not substantially alter the results.Download Info
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Article provided by AccessEcon in its journal Economics Bulletin.
Volume (Year): 29 (2009)
Issue (Month): 2 ()
Pages: 1027-1034
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Related research
Keywords: panel causality tests; budget deficit; external imbalance; real exchange rates;Other versions of this item:
- António Afonso & Christophe Rault, 2009. "Bootstrap Panel Granger-Causality Between Government Budget and External Deficits for the EU," Working Papers 2009/02, Department of Economics at the School of Economics and Management (ISEG), Technical University of Lisbon..
- António Afonso & Christophe Rault, 2009. "Bootstrap Panel Granger-Causality between Government Budget and External Deficits for the EU," CESifo Working Paper Series 2581, CESifo Group Munich.
- E6 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook
- F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
References
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- António Afonso & Christophe Rault, 2009.
"Budgetary and External Imbalances Relationship: A Panel Data Diagnostic,"
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- António Afonso & Christophe Rault, 2008. "Budgetary and External Imbalances Relationship : a Panel Data Diagnostic," Working Papers 2008/45, Department of Economics at the School of Economics and Management (ISEG), Technical University of Lisbon..
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Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.Cited by:
- Arouri, Mohamed El Hedi & Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Rault, Christophe & Sova, Robert & Sova, Anamaria, 2012.
"Environmental Regulation and Competitiveness: Evidence from Romania,"
Ecological Economics,
Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 130-139.
- Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Rault, Christophe & Sova, Robert & Sova, Anamaria, 2010. "Environmental Regulation and Competitiveness: Evidence from Romania," IZA Discussion Papers 5029, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
- Mohamed El Hedi Arouri & Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Christophe Rault & Robert Sova & Anamaria Sova, 2012. "Environmental Regulation and Competitiveness: Evidence from Romania," CESifo Working Paper Series 3916, CESifo Group Munich.
- Guglielmo Caporale & Christophe Rault & Robert Sova & Anamaria Sova, 2010. "Environmental Regulation and Competitiveness: Evidence from Romania," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series wp995, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan.
- Mohamed El Hedi Arouri & Adel Ben Youssef & Hatem M'Henni & Christophe Rault, 2012.
"Energy Consumption, Economic Growth and CO2 Emissions in Middle East and North African Countries,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
3726, CESifo Group Munich.
- Arouri, Mohamed El Hedi & Ben Youssef, Adel & M'henni, Hatem & Rault, Christophe, 2012. "Energy consumption, economic growth and CO2 emissions in Middle East and North African countries," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 342-349.
- Arouri, Mohamed El Hedi & Ben Youssef, Adel & M'henni, Hatem & Rault, Christophe, 2012. "Energy Consumption, Economic Growth and CO2 Emissions in Middle East and North African Countries," IZA Discussion Papers 6412, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
- Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Thouraya Hadj Amor & Christophe Rault, 2011. "Sources of Real Exchange Rate Volatility and International Financial Integration: A Dynamic GMM Panel Approach," CESifo Working Paper Series 3645, CESifo Group Munich.
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