Nonlinearities, co-trending and budget balance sustainability
AbstractThe study provides new evidence on the sustainability debate concerning the US budget balance. Existing studies are often only able to reject non-cointegration between government expenditure and revenue once structural breaks or regime changes are allowed for. Using a testing procedure advocated by Bierens, this study provides a different perspective on this issue. Government expenditure and revenue are both found to be stationary around a nonlinear deterministic trend, and they are co-trended insofar as they share a common nonlinear deterministic trend.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Queensland University of Technology (QUT), School of Economics and Finance in its journal Economic Analysis and Policy (EAP).
Volume (Year): 40 (2010)
Issue (Month): 3 (December)
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Budget balance; nonlinearities; co-trending; sustainability;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- H60 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - General
- C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
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