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Vulnerability of Natural Gas Supply in the Asian Gas Market

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Author Info
Helen Cabalu () (School of Economics and Finance, Curtin University of Technology, GPO Box U1987, Perth, Western Australia 6845)
Chassty Manuhutu () (Schlumberger Business Consulting, PT Schlumberger Geophysics Nusantara, 16th Floor Sentra Mulia, Jl.H.R.Rasuna Said Kav X-6 No. 8, Jakarta 1294, Indonesia)

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Abstract

Gas supply interruptions, increasing gas prices, transportation and distribution bottlenecks, and a growing reliance on imports over longer distances have renewed interest on gas vulnerability in Asia. Japan, Korea and Taiwan are heavily reliant on LNG imports for their gas supplies from Malaysia, Brunei, Indonesia, Australia and the Middle East. Countries like Malaysia, Thailand and Singapore import gas via trans-border pipelines. This paper examines the relative vulnerability of eight gas-importing countries in Asia for the year 2006 using four market risk indicators (ratio of value of gas imports to GDP; ratio of gas consumed to GDP; ratio of gas consumed in an economy to population; and ratio of gas consumption to total primary energy consumption) and two supply risk indicators (ratio of domestic gas production to total domestic gas consumption and geopolitical risk). Using principal component analysis, a composite index of gas vulnerability is estimated by combining the individual indicators. The results demonstrate that there are significant differences in the values of individual and overall indicators of gas vulnerability among countries. This implies that policy measures to address gas vulnerability in one country could differ in another country.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Queensland University of Technology (QUT), School of Economics and Finance in its journal Economic Analysis and Policy (EAP).

Volume (Year): 39 (2009)
Issue (Month): 2 (September)
Pages: 255-270
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Handle: RePEc:eap:articl:v39:y:2009:i:2:p:255-270

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Related research
Keywords: Natural gas; vulnerability; Asia;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply
Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy

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This page was last updated on 2009-11-22.


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