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Fiscal Stimulus Packages and Uncertainty in Times of Crisis. Economic Policy for Open Economies

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  • Ansgar Belke

    ()
    (University of Duisburg-Essen and IZA Bonn, Department of Economics, 45117 Essen, Germany)

Abstract

Policymakers in the EU member states and around the world, as for instance in Australia, are currently shaping rescue packages to prevent the financial crisis hitting their economies with unmitigated force. Each government is responding to the emerging problems with a country-specific set of measures. Given the global nature of the crisis, would coordinated action at the European level not be a better approach? Was the German government – much-criticized for its initial reluctance to adopt massive fiscal stimulation measures – right after all to exploit the option value of waiting in a situation of high uncertainty? The answer to the second question is a qualified “yes”. However, the answer to the first one is more complex and crucially depends on how reasonable it appears to model the impact of the economic crisis as an exogenous demand shock which has hit the euro area countries.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Queensland University of Technology (QUT), School of Economics and Finance in its journal Economic Analysis and Policy (EAP).

Volume (Year): 39 (2009)
Issue (Month): 1 (March)
Pages: 25-46

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Handle: RePEc:eap:articl:v39:y:2009:i:1:p:25-46

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Keywords: policy co-ordination; fiscal multiplier; fiscal stimulus package; liquidity constraint; option value of waiting; uncertainty;

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