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Does Policy Interest Rate Have Asymmetric Adjustment: Case Of Jordan

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  • Osama D. Sweidan

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    Abstract

    This study seeks to test the hypothesis that policy interest rate in Jordan adjusts differently to expansionary versus contractionary monetary policies. The answer highlights on the behavior of the central bank of Jordan (CBJ), and helps to conclude if the CBJ is biased in favor of certain policy. The current study applies threshold autoregressive (TAR) and momentum TAR (MTAR) models. The results show that policy interest rate in Jordan displays symmetric adjustment which supports the idea that the CBJ is not prejudice of either easy or tight monetary policy.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Euro-American Association of Economic Development in its journal Applied Econometrics and International Development.

    Volume (Year): 8 (2008)
    Issue (Month): 2 ()
    Pages: 151-158

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    Handle: RePEc:eaa:aeinde:v:8:y:2008:i:2_12

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    Related research

    Keywords: Hypothesis Testing; Monetary Policy; Central Bank; TAR Model.;

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    References

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    1. Ball, L. & Mankiw, N.G., 1992. "Asymmetric Price Adjustment and Economic Fluctuations," Harvard Institute of Economic Research Working Papers 1602, Harvard - Institute of Economic Research.
    2. Enders, Walter & Granger, Clive W J, 1998. "Unit-Root Tests and Asymmetric Adjustment with an Example Using the Term Structure of Interest Rates," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 16(3), pages 304-11, July.
    3. Sichel, Daniel E, 1993. "Business Cycle Asymmetry: A Deeper Look," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 31(2), pages 224-36, April.
    4. Peersman, Gert & Smets, Frank, 2001. "Are the effects of monetary policy in the euro area greater in recessions than in booms?," Working Paper Series 0052, European Central Bank.
    5. Dickey, David A & Fuller, Wayne A, 1981. "Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 49(4), pages 1057-72, June.
    6. Neftci, Salih N, 1984. "Are Economic Time Series Asymmetric over the Business Cycle?," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 92(2), pages 307-28, April.
    7. Terasvirta, T & Anderson, H M, 1992. "Characterizing Nonlinearities in Business Cycles Using Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 7(S), pages S119-36, Suppl. De.
    8. Cover, James Peery, 1992. "Asymmetric Effects of Positive and Negative Money-Supply Shocks," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 107(4), pages 1261-82, November.
    9. Michael J. Dueker, 2000. "Are prime rate changes asymmetric?," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue Sep, pages 33-40.
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