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Inflation and Economic Growth in Kuwait: 1985-2005. Evidence from Co-Integration and Error Correction Model

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  • Saaed, A.A.J.

Abstract

It is widely believed that moderate and stable inflation rates promote the development process of a country, and hence economic growth. Moderate inflation supplements return to savers, enhances investment, and therefore, accelerates economic growth of the country. The main purpose of this study is to study and analyze the relationship between inflation and economic growth in the context of Kuwait. Using annual data set on real GDP and CPI for the period of 1985 to 2005, an assessment of empirical evidence has been acquired through the co-integration and error correction models. The empirical evidence demonstrates that there exists a statistically significant longrun negative relationship between inflation and economic growth for the country as indicated by a statistically significant long-run negative relationship between CPI and real GDP. These results have important policy implications for both domestic policy makers and the development partners working for the country. Specifically, our conclusion is of direct relevance to the conduct of the monetary policy by the Kuwait Bank.

Suggested Citation

  • Saaed, A.A.J., 2007. "Inflation and Economic Growth in Kuwait: 1985-2005. Evidence from Co-Integration and Error Correction Model," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 7(1).
    • Handle: RePEc:eaa:aeinde:v:7:y:2007:i:1_12
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    Cited by:

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    2. Shailender Singh & Amar Singh, 2015. "Causal Nexus between Inflation and Economic Growth of Japan," Iranian Economic Review (IER), Faculty of Economics,University of Tehran.Tehran,Iran, vol. 19(3), pages 265-278, Autumn.
    3. Peter Ego Ayunku & Rachel Konyefa Dickson, 2021. "Inflation Rate, Exchange Rate, Remittances Inflows and Economic Performance in Nigeria: A Granger Causality Approach," International Journal of Human Resource Studies, Macrothink Institute, vol. 11(1), pages 336350-3363, December.
    4. Muhammad Azmat Hayat & Huma Ghulam & Maryam Batool & Muhammad Zahid Naeem & Abdullah Ejaz & Cristi Spulbar & Ramona Birau, 2021. "Investigating the Causal Linkages among Inflation, Interest Rate, and Economic Growth in Pakistan under the Influence of COVID-19 Pandemic: A Wavelet Transformation Approach," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-22, June.
    5. Affendi, Diyana Najwa & Masih, Mansur, 2018. "Is inflation targeting compatible with economic growth ? Korean experience based on ARDL and NARDL," MPRA Paper 91519, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Inflation; Economic Growth; Error Correction Model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation

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