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Inflation and Economic Growth in Kuwait: 1985-2005. Evidence from Co-Integration and Error Correction Model

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Author Info
Saaed, A.A.J.
Abstract

It is widely believed that moderate and stable inflation rates promote the development process of a country, and hence economic growth. Moderate inflation supplements return to savers, enhances investment, and therefore, accelerates economic growth of the country. The main purpose of this study is to study and analyze the relationship between inflation and economic growth in the context of Kuwait. Using annual data set on real GDP and CPI for the period of 1985 to 2005, an assessment of empirical evidence has been acquired through the co-integration and error correction models. The empirical evidence demonstrates that there exists a statistically significant longrun negative relationship between inflation and economic growth for the country as indicated by a statistically significant long-run negative relationship between CPI and real GDP. These results have important policy implications for both domestic policy makers and the development partners working for the country. Specifically, our conclusion is of direct relevance to the conduct of the monetary policy by the Kuwait Bank.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Euro-American Association of Economic Development in its journal Applied Econometrics and International Development.

Volume (Year): 7 (2007)
Issue (Month): 1 ()
Pages:
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Handle: RePEc:eaa:aeinde:v:7:y:2007:i:1_12

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Related research
Keywords: Inflation; Economic Growth; Error Correction Model;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Estimation
C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions
E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation

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  1. Kormendi, Roger C. & Meguire, Philip G., 1985. "Macroeconomic determinants of growth: Cross-country evidence," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 141-163, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Johansen, Soren & Juselius, Katarina, 1990. "Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Cointegration--With Applications to the Demand for Money," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 52(2), pages 169-210, May.
  3. Paul, Satya & Kearney, Colm & Chowdhury, Kabir, 1997. "Inflation and Economic Growth: A Multi-country Empirical Analysis," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 29(10), pages 1387-1401, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. James MacKinnon, 1990. "Critical Values for Cointegration Tests," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series 90-4, Department of Economics, UC San Diego. [Downloadable!]
  5. Levine, Ross & Zervos, Sara J, 1993. "What We Have Learned about Policy and Growth from Cross-Country Regressions?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 83(2), pages 426-30, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Robert J. Barro, 1995. "Inflation and Economic Growth," NBER Working Papers 5326, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. João R. Faria & Francisco Galrão Carneiro, 2001. "Does High Inflation Affect Growth in the Long and Short Run?," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, vol. 0, pages 89-105, May. [Downloadable!]
  8. Sala-i-Martin, Xavier, 1997. "I Just Ran Two Million Regressions," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 87(2), pages 178-83, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Newey, Whitney K & West, Kenneth D, 1994. "Automatic Lag Selection in Covariance Matrix Estimation," Review of Economic Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 61(4), pages 631-53, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  10. Alexander, W Robert J, 1997. "Inflation and Economic Growth: Evidence from a Growth Equation," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 29(2), pages 233-38, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  11. By Mohsin S. Khan & Abdelhak S. Senhadji, 2001. "Threshold Effects in the Relationship Between Inflation and Growth," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan Journals, vol. 48(1), pages 1. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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