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Crisis Exacerbated Fiscal Deficits And Possible Impact On Fdi Flows: An Empirical Analysis Of Emerging Europe And India

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  • BOSE, Suchismita
  • JHA, Sudipta
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    Abstract

    Several developing economies impacted by the recent global financial crisis, are experiencing large increases in fiscal deficits and are also concurrently facing a loss of long term stable capital inflows like FDI. In this paper we try to determine the FDI encouraging or debilitating effect of government balances relative to other determinants of inward FDI. In a dynamic panel regression with data from 14 European countries and India, fiscal health by itself is found to be a very significant determinant of FDI inflows vis-à-vis certain other economic and developmental policy indicators, underlining the significance of pruning government deficits for sustainable FDI in the post-crisis scenario. We find growth, market size and past FDI inflows and the policy variables related to business and trade environment, to be the other key determinants of inward FDI flows.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Euro-American Association of Economic Development in its journal Applied Econometrics and International Development.

    Volume (Year): 12 (2012)
    Issue (Month): 1 ()
    Pages:

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    Handle: RePEc:eaa:aeinde:v:12:y:2012:i:1_3

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    Related research

    Keywords: FDI; Fiscal Balance/Deficit; Global Crisis; Dynamic Panel Regression;

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    1. M Arellano & O Bover, 1990. "Another Look at the Instrumental Variable Estimation of Error-Components Models," CEP Discussion Papers dp0007, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
    2. Holtz-Eakin, Douglas & Newey, Whitney & Rosen, Harvey S, 1988. "Estimating Vector Autoregressions with Panel Data," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 56(6), pages 1371-95, November.
    3. Pietro Garibaldi & Nada Mora & Ratna Sahay & Jeromin Zettelmeyer, 2001. "What Moves Capital to Transition Economies?," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 48(4), pages 6.
    4. B. Merlevede & K. Schoors, 2005. "How to Catch Foreign Fish? FDI and Privatisation in EU Accession Countries," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 05/309, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
    5. Nigel Pain & Dawn Holland, 1998. "The Diffusion Of Innovations In Central And Eastern Europe: A Study Of The Determinants And Impact O," NIESR Discussion Papers 205, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
    6. Arellano, Manuel & Bond, Stephen, 1991. "Some Tests of Specification for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Application to Employment Equations," Review of Economic Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 58(2), pages 277-97, April.
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