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Mortality tempo-adjustment

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Author Info
Marc Luy (University of Rostock)
Abstract

The number of scholars following the tempo approach in fertility continues to grow, whereas tempo-adjustment in mortality generally still is rejected. This rejection is irrational in principle, as the basic idea behind the tempo approach is independent of the kind of demographic event. Providing the first empirical application to a substantial problem, this paper shows that mortality tempo-adjustment can paint a different picture of current mortality conditions compared to conventional life expectancy. An application of the Bongaarts and Feeney method to the analysis of mortality differences between western and eastern Germany shows that the eastern German disadvantages still are considerably higher and that the mortality gap between the two entities began to narrow some years later than trends in conventional life expectancy suggest. Thus, the picture drawn by tempo-adjusted life expectancy fits the expected trends of changing mortality and also the self-reported health conditions of eastern and western Germans better than that painted by conventional life expectancy.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany in its journal Demographic Research.

Volume (Year): 15 (2006)
Issue (Month): 21 (December)
Pages: 561-590
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Handle: RePEc:dem:demres:v:15:y:2006:i:21

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Related research
Keywords: Bongaarts and Feeney formula Bongaarts and Feeney method demographic period measures life expectancy mortality mortality differences between West and East Germany mortality tempo tempo adjustment tempo distortion tempo effects

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
J1 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics
Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

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  1. Joshua Goldstein & Wolfgang Lutz & Sergei Scherbov, 2003. "Long-Term Population Decline in Europe: The Relative Importance of Tempo Effects and Generational Length," Population and Development Review, The Population Council, Inc., vol. 29(4), pages 699-707. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Ron Lesthaeghe & Paul Willems, 1999. "Is Low Fertility a Temporary Phenomenon in the European Union?," Population and Development Review, The Population Council, Inc., vol. 25(2), pages 211-228. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Kenneth W. Wachter, 2005. "Tempo and its Tribulations," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 13(9), pages 201-222, November. [Downloadable!]
  4. Ward, Michael P & Butz, William P, 1980. "Completed Fertility and Its Timing," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 88(5), pages 917-40, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. John Bongaarts, 2005. "Five period measures of longevity," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 13(21), pages 547-558, November. [Downloadable!]
  6. James W. Vaupel, 2005. "Lifesaving, lifetimes and lifetables," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 13(24), pages 597-614, December. [Downloadable!]
  7. Tomás Sobotka, 2004. "Is Lowest-Low Fertility in Europe Explained by the Postponement of Childbearing?," Population and Development Review, The Population Council, Inc., vol. 30(2), pages 195-220. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Shiro Horiuchi, 2005. "Tempo effect on age-specific death rates," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 13(8), pages 189-200, November. [Downloadable!]
  9. Arjan Gjonca & Hilke Brockmann & Heiner Maier, 2000. "Old-Age Mortality in Germany prior to and after Reunification," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 3(1), July. [Downloadable!]
  10. John R. Wilmoth, 2005. "On the relationship between period and cohort mortality," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 13(11), pages 231-280, November. [Downloadable!]
  11. Evert van Imhoff, 2001. "On the impossibility of inferring cohort fertility measures from period fertility measures," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 5(2), pages 23-64, September. [Downloadable!]
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