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Modelling regional variation of first-time births in Denmark 1980-1994 by an age-period-cohort model

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Author Info
Lau Caspar Thygesen (National Institute of Public Health, Copenhagen)
Lisbeth B. Knudsen (Aalborg University)
Niels Keiding (University of Copenhagen)
Abstract

Despite the small size of Denmark, there have traditionally been rather consistent regional differences in fertility rates. We apply the statistical age-period-cohort model to include the effect of these three time-related factors thereby concisely illuminating the regional differences of first-time births in Denmark. From the Fertility of Women and Couples Dataset we obtain data on number of births by nulliparous women by year (1980-1994), age (15-45) and county of residence. We show that the APC-model describes the fertility rates of nulliparous women satisfactorily. To catch the regional variation an interaction parameter between age and county is necessary, which provides a surprisingly good description suggesting that the county-specific age-distributions of first-time fertility rates differ. Our results are in general agreement with the 'moral geography' concepts of Tonboe (2001).

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany in its journal Demographic Research.

Volume (Year): 13 (2005)
Issue (Month): 23 (December)
Pages: 573-596
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Handle: RePEc:dem:demres:v:13:y:2005:i:23

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Related research
Keywords: age-period-cohort models Denmark fertility fertility rate nulliparous women regional variation

Find related papers by JEL classification:
J1 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics
Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Gerda R. Neyer, 2003. "Family policies and low fertility in Western Europe," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2003-021, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2008-9-25.


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