A Two Factor Model for PD and LGD Correlation
Abstract
The paper proposes a two systematic factor model to capture a retail portfolio probability of default (PD) and loss given default (LGD) parameters, in particular their mutual correlation. We argue that the standard one factor models standing behind the Basel II formula and used by a number of studies cannot capture well the correlation between PD and LGD on a large (asymptotic) portfolio. The proposed model is implemented on real banking data giving an estimate of a positive PD and LGD correlation implied by the model slightly above 10%.Download Info
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Article provided by The Czech Econometric Society in its journal Bulletin of the Czech Econometric Society.
Volume (Year): 18 (2011)
Issue (Month): 28 ()
Pages:
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Web page: http://ces.utia.cas.cz
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Related research
Keywords: credit risk; recovery rate; loss given default; correlation; regulatory capital;Find related papers by JEL classification:
- G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
- G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation
- C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
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Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.Cited by:
- Petr Gapko & Martin Šmíd, 2012. "Dynamic Multi-Factor Credit Risk Model with Fat-Tailed Factors," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 62(2), pages 125-140, May.
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