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Ley De Zipf Y De Gibrat Para Colombia Y Sus Regiones: 1835-2005

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  • Pérez Valbuena, Gerson Javier
  • Meisel Roca, Adolfo

Abstract

En este documento se analiza la jerarquía urbana de Colombia y sus regiones utilizando información censal de entre 1835 y 2005. Se estudian tres aspectos: 1) la distribución del tamaño poblacional a través de las regularidades empíricas de Zipf y de Gibrat; 2) el cambio en el modelo de crecimiento poblacional, y 3) la validación empírica sobre la coincidencia de la dinámica poblacional para un país y sus regiones. Haciendo uso de la relación rango-tamaño y de técnicas no paramétricas, se encuentra coincidencia nacional y regional desde 1964 del cumplimiento de la ley de Zipf y parcialmente de la ley de Gibrat, lo cual evidencia un cambio en el modelo de crecimiento poblacional desde mediados del siglo XX en los ámbitos nacional y regional. By using census data from 1835 to 2005 this paper studies the urban hierarchy in Colombia and its regions. This document focuses on three issues: 1. the city size distribution by means of Zipf's law and Gibrat's law; 2. the shifts in the population growth models; 3. the empirical validation of the coincidence between national and regional population patterns. Using the adjusted rank-size relationship and non-parametric techniques, we find that city size distributions follow the Zipfian power low and that Gibrat's law holds at national level and partially at the regional level from 1964. These results are consistent with shifts in the population growth from mid 1950s at national and regional level.

Suggested Citation

  • Pérez Valbuena, Gerson Javier & Meisel Roca, Adolfo, 2014. "Ley De Zipf Y De Gibrat Para Colombia Y Sus Regiones: 1835-2005," Revista de Historia Económica / Journal of Iberian and Latin American Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 32(2), pages 247-286, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:reveco:v:32:y:2014:i:02:p:247-286_00
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    Cited by:

    1. Ronan Lyons & Elisa Maria Tirindelli, 2022. "The Rise & Fall of Urban Concentration in Britain: Zipf, Gibrat and Gini across two centuries," Trinity Economics Papers tep0522, Trinity College Dublin, Department of Economics.
    2. Leonardo Bonilla–Mejía & Luis Armando Galvis?Aponte, 2017. "Centro de Estudios Económicos Regionales (CEER): veinte anos de investigación sobre economía regional," Documentos de Trabajo Sobre Economía Regional y Urbana 15532, Banco de la República, Economía Regional.
    3. Gerson Javier Pérez-Valbuena & Jaime Bonet-Morón, 2018. "Municipal Fiscal Health in Colombian Main Cities," Documentos de Trabajo Sobre Economía Regional y Urbana 17016, Banco de la República, Economía Regional.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • R10 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - General

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