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Financial Intermediation And Aggregate Fluctuations: A Quantitative Analysis

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Author Info
Cooper, Russell
Ejarque, Jo o
Abstract

We investigate the quantitative behavior of business-cycle models in which the intermediation process acts either as a source of fluctuations or as a propagator of real shocks. In neither case do we find convincing evidence that the intermediation process is an important element of aggregate fluctuations. For an economy driven by intermediation shocks, consumption is not smoother than output, investment is negatively correlated with output, variations in the capital stock are quite large, and interest rates are procyclical. The model economy thus fails to match unconditional moments for the U.S. economy. We also structurally estimate parameters of a model economy in which intermediation and productivity shocks are present, allowing for the intermediation process to propagate the real shock. The unconditional correlations are closer to those observed only when the intermediation shock is relatively unimportant.

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File URL: http://journals.cambridge.org/abstract_S1365100500017016
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Cambridge University Press in its journal Macroeconomic Dynamics.

Volume (Year): 4 (2000)
Issue (Month): 04 (December)
Pages: 423-447
Download reference. The following formats are available: HTML (with abstract), plain text (with abstract), BibTeX, RIS (EndNote, RefMan, ProCite), ReDIF
Handle: RePEc:cup:macdyn:v:4:y:2000:i:04:p:423-447_01

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  1. Julio J. Rotemberg, 2003. "Stochastic Technical Progress, Smooth Trends, and Nearly Distinct Business Cycles," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 93(5), pages 1543-1559, December. [Downloadable!]
  2. David Aadland, 2002. "Detrending Time-Aggregated Data," Macroeconomics 0301007, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Ali Dib & Ian Christensen, 2005. "Monetary Policy in an Estimated DSGE Model with a Financial Accelerator," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 314, Society for Computational Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. V. V. Chari & Patrick J. Kehoe & Ellen R. McGrattan, 2006. "Business cycle accounting," Staff Report 328, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  5. Christopher L. House, 2002. "Adverse Selection and the Accelerator," Macroeconomics 0211015, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  6. Roland Meeks, 2006. "Credit Shocks and Cycles: a Bayesian Calibration Approach," Economics Papers 2006-W11, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford. [Downloadable!]
  7. João Ejarque & Ana Balcão Reis, 2003. "More Lessons from Taking an AK Model to the Data," Discussion Papers 03-37, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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