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Market Responses to Dividend Increases and Changes in Payout Ratios

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  • Divecha, Arjun
  • Morse, Dale

Abstract

The effect of dividends on the valuation of securities has been a controversial subject in financial research in recent years. Since Miller and Modigliani [8] demonstrated the irrelevance of dividend policy, researchers have tested and attempted to explain market price reaction to firms’ dividend decisions. Explanations of market reactions to dividend policyhave centered around information issues and tax effects. Information issues have been empirically investigated by examining market reactions to announcements of dividend changes. The effect of differential tax treatments of dividends and capital gains usually has been examined through cross-sectional regression testing the significance of dividend yield in explaining returns. Any market return study of dividends, however, should consider both the potential information effect and the tax effect.

Suggested Citation

  • Divecha, Arjun & Morse, Dale, 1983. "Market Responses to Dividend Increases and Changes in Payout Ratios," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(2), pages 163-173, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:cup:jfinqa:v:18:y:1983:i:02:p:163-173_01
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    Cited by:

    1. Taeyoon Sung & Daehwan Kim & Ludwig Chincarini, 2006. "Corporate scandals and the market response of dividend payout changes," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(7), pages 535-549.
    2. Berezinets, I. V. & Bulatova, L. A. & Ilina, Y. B., 2015. "Dividend announcements impact on stock returns: Evidence from the emerging market of India," Working Papers 6410, Graduate School of Management, St. Petersburg State University.
    3. Frankfurter, George M. & Wood, Bob Jr., 2002. "Dividend policy theories and their empirical tests," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 11(2), pages 111-138.
    4. T. McCluskey & B. M. Burton & D. M. Power & C. D. Sinclair, 2006. "Evidence on the Irish stock market's reaction to dividend announcements," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(8), pages 617-628.
    5. ROBINSON, C. Justin & BANGWAYO-SKEETE, Prosper, F., 2018. "The Information Content Of Dividend Announcements: Evidence From Frontier Markets With Varying Tax Regimes In Jamaica And Trinidad And Tobago, 2001-2017," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 18(2), pages 73-86.
    6. Herman Manakyan & Carolyn Carroll, 1990. "An Empirical Examination Of The Existence Of A Signaling Value Function For Dividends," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 13(3), pages 201-210, September.
    7. Chia-Wen Chang & Ming-Chin Chen & Vincent Y.S. Chen, 2017. "Are Corporate Tax Reductions Real Benefits under Imputation Systems?," European Accounting Review, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(2), pages 215-237, April.
    8. Rozycki, John J., 1997. "A tax motivation for smoothing dividends," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 563-578.
    9. Szymon Okoń, 2012. "Investor Reaction to Mandatory Offers on the Warsaw Stock Exchange," Contemporary Economics, University of Economics and Human Sciences in Warsaw., vol. 6(2), June.
    10. Brucato, Peter Jr. & Smith, David M., 1997. "An analysis of the role of firm reputation in the market's reaction to corporate dividends," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 647-665.
    11. Michael Theobald, 1985. "Exclusion period and market model parameter nonstationarities in price reaction studies," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 2(1), pages 1-22, September.
    12. Bozos, Konstantinos & Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos & Ramgandhi, Ghanamaruthy, 2011. "Dividend signaling under economic adversity: Evidence from the London Stock Exchange," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 20(5), pages 364-374.
    13. Michael Theobald, 1985. "Période d'exclusion et paramètres non†stationnaires d'un modèle de marché dans des études de réactions des prix," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 2(1), pages 23-45, September.
    14. Chinmoy Ghosh & J. Randall Woolridge, 1988. "An Analysis Of Shareholder Reaction To Dividend Cuts And Omissions," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 11(4), pages 281-294, December.
    15. Manuel Ammann & Ralf Seiz & Martin Zulauf, 2006. "Nennwertrückzahlungen am Schweizer Aktienmarkt und ihre Auswirkungen auf den Unternehmenswert," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 142(IV), pages 447-477, December.
    16. Berezinets, I.V. & Bulatova, L.A. & Ilina, Y. B. & Smirnov, M.V., 2016. "How stock market reacts to dividend surprises: Russian and Indian experience," Working Papers 6437, Graduate School of Management, St. Petersburg State University.
    17. Warwick Anderson, 2013. "The Role of mid-year dividends as predictors of yearly earnings," Working Papers in Economics 13/01, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
    18. Kane, Alex & Lee, Young Ki & Marcus, Alan, 1984. "Earnings and Dividend Announcements: Is There a Corroboration Effect?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 39(4), pages 1091-1099, September.
    19. Jack J.W. Yang & Tsung-Hsin Wu, 2015. "Announcement Effect of Cash Dividend Changes around Ex-Dividend Days: Evidence from Taiwan," The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 9(2), pages 77-91.
    20. Mohit Gupta & Navdeep Aggarwal, 2018. "Signaling Effect of Shifts in Dividend Policy: Evidence from Indian Capital Markets," Business Perspectives and Research, , vol. 6(2), pages 142-153, July.
    21. Manuel Espitia & Javier Ruiz Cabestre, 1996. "El efecto informativo del anuncio de dividendos en el mercado de capitales español," Investigaciones Economicas, Fundación SEPI, vol. 20(3), pages 411-422, September.
    22. Berezinets, I.V. & Bulatova, L.A. & Ilina, Y.B. & Smirnov, M.V., 2015. "Stock market reaction to dividend surprises: Evidence from Russia," Working Papers 6427, Graduate School of Management, St. Petersburg State University.
    23. Sabur Mollah, 2007. "Price Reaction To Dividend Initiations And Omissions In Emerging Market: Evidence From Pre And Post Market Crisis In Bangladesh," The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 1(2), pages 51-68.

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