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The Effect of Changing Expectations upon Stock Returns

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  • Peterson, David
  • Peterson, Pamela

Abstract

The relationship between heterogeneous expectations on the part of investors with respect to a security's future return and asset prices is an area of increasing interest in finance. Theoretical examples include Miller [14], Williams [23], and Jarrow [8]. Empirical examples include Bart and Masse [1] and Peterson and Peterson [18]. Miller, Bart and Masse, and Peterson and Peterson address issues related to whether an increase in divergence of opinion will lead to an increase in an asset's price. Unfortunately, little is known of how different types of changes in investors' probability distributions of returns influence asset returns. An even more basic problem is that it is not clear what is meant in terms of investor probability distributions when it is said that divergence of opinion increases or decreases. The answer to this problem has important implications for understanding equilibrium price.

Suggested Citation

  • Peterson, David & Peterson, Pamela, 1982. "The Effect of Changing Expectations upon Stock Returns," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 17(5), pages 799-813, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:jfinqa:v:17:y:1982:i:05:p:799-813_01
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Carl R. Chen & James Wuh Lin & David A. Sauer, 1997. "Earnings Announcements, Quality And Quantity Of Information, And Stock Price Changes," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 20(4), pages 483-502, December.
    2. Jean†Franã‡Ois L'Her & Jean†Marc Suret, 1996. "Consensus, Dispersion and Security prices," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 13(1), pages 209-228, March.
    3. Rama Prasad Kanungo, 2004. "Security Analysts and Market Reaction:Caveat for Monitoring," Finance 0411039, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. H. Baker & Gary Powell & Daniel Weaver, 1998. "The effect of NYSE listing on a firm’s media visibility," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 22(1), pages 19-28, March.
    5. Bakera, H. Kent & Powell, Gary E. & Weaver, Daniel G., 1999. "The visibility effects of Amex listing," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 341-361.
    6. David R. Peterson & Donald M. Waldman, 1984. "A Model Of Heterogeneous Expectations As A Determinant Of Short Sales," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 7(1), pages 1-16, March.
    7. Jean-François L'Her & Jean-Marc Suret, 1995. "Heterogeneous Expectations, Short Sales Regulation and the Risk Return Relationship," CIRANO Working Papers 95s-29, CIRANO.

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