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The Price Revolution: A Monetary Interpretation

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  • Fisher, Douglas

Abstract

This article presents tests of the role of money in the price revolution (1525–1618). The hypothesis is that American specie drove European prices, and that the mechanism was the quantity theory of money buttressed by the specie-flow mechanism. Specie entered Spain, increasing Spanish prices, and then spread over Western Europe as a result of the Spanish balance-of-payments deficit, enlarging European monetary bases and price levels. Empirical verification is achieved through Granger-causality tests.

Suggested Citation

  • Fisher, Douglas, 1989. "The Price Revolution: A Monetary Interpretation," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 49(4), pages 883-902, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:jechis:v:49:y:1989:i:04:p:883-902_00
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    Cited by:

    1. Melitz, Jacques & Edo, Anthony, 2019. "The Primary Cause of European Inflation in 1500-1700: Precious Metals or Population? The English Evidence," CEPR Discussion Papers 14023, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    2. Chen, Yao & Palma, Nuno & Ward, Felix, 2021. "Reconstruction of the Spanish money supply, 1492–1810," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    3. Motomura, Akira, 1997. "New Data on Minting, Seigniorage, and the Money Supply in Spain (Castile), 1597-1643," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 331-367, July.
    4. Drelichman, Mauricio, 2005. "The curse of Moctezuma: American silver and the Dutch disease," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 42(3), pages 349-380, July.
    5. Mauricio Drelichman, 2004. "The Curse of Moctezuma: American Silver and the Dutch Disease, 1501-1650," Economic History 0404001, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Nicolini, Esteban & Ramos, Fernando, 2006. "A methodological approach to estimating the money demand in pre-industrial economies: probate inventories and Spain in the 18th century," IFCS - Working Papers in Economic History.WH wh061902, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Instituto Figuerola.
    7. Hongjun Zhao, 2016. "American Silver Inflow and the Price Revolution in Qing China," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 20(1), pages 294-305, February.
    8. Thomas L. Hogan, Daniel J. Smith, Robin Aguiar-Hicks, 2018. "Central Banking without Romance," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), vol. 15(2), pages 293-314, December.

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